Denver @ Orlando picks

The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from facing the least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Magic). Nikola Jokic should suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 45.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's made from three overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Orlando Magic. The Magic rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games while on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league as the away team with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 58.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.9% more than he's converted overall this season when playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has tallied 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 4.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 42.3% on threes (6th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making this a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games while on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the league as the away team with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.