Miami @ San Antonio picks

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Chris Paul has tallied an impressive 8.2 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.7 assists per game last year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Chris Paul will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.