LIVE Halftime Feb 25
BOS 66 -11.0 o226.5
TOR 54 11.0 u226.5
LIVE 09:54 2nd Feb 25
CLE 38 -6.0 o218.0
ORL 20 6.0 u218.0
SA 2.5 o239.5
NO -2.5 u239.5
LIVE 11:43 1st Feb 25
PHO 0 6.5 o245.5
MEM 0 -6.5 u245.5
LIVE 12:00 1st Feb 25
MIL 0 3.0 o228.5
HOU 0 -3.0 u228.5
CHA 17.0 o217.5
GS -17.0 u217.5
DAL 9.0 o231.0
LAL -9.0 u231.0
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE26-30
San Antonio 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE24-31

Miami @ San Antonio Props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 97th percentile for shots taken, logging 18.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The rate of field goals made against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (65.0%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 97th percentile for shots taken, logging 18.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The rate of field goals made against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (65.0%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Spurs are on their home court (6th-most in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Spurs are on their home court (6th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Nikola Jovic has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 45.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.6% more than he's made from three overall this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan should see a spike in performance for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 45.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.6% more than he's made from three overall this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan should see a spike in performance for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has made 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 82nd percentile for three-point prowess with an excellent 38.5% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Harrison Barnes has made 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 82nd percentile for three-point prowess with an excellent 38.5% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Duncan Robinson has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Duncan Robinson has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Duncan Robinson has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Chris Paul has made an impressive 93.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 75.1 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Chris Paul has made an impressive 93.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 75.1 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Bam Adebayo has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Bam Adebayo has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has registered 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season on the road. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a good matchup.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Tyler Herro has registered 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season on the road. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a good matchup.

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Stephon Castle has attempted 16.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Stephon Castle has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Stephon Castle

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Stephon Castle has attempted 16.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Stephon Castle has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 60.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has made 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.6 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The number of shots converted against Charles Bassey has been very high (7.2 per game) when he is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Kel'el Ware has made 60.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has made 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.6 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The number of shots converted against Charles Bassey has been very high (7.2 per game) when he is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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