MIL 8.0 o222.0
IND -8.0 u222.0
DET 5.5 o215.0
NY -5.5 u215.0
ORL 11.5 o199.0
BOS -11.5 u199.0
LAC -2.0 o208.5
DEN 2.0 u208.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

New Orleans @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Karlo Matkovic Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Matkovic
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Karlo Matkovic measures in the 7th percentile, posting a lowly 1.8 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karlo Matkovic lands in the 19th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 10.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Pelicans will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Karlo Matkovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.6

Among all players in the league, Karlo Matkovic measures in the 7th percentile, posting a lowly 1.8 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karlo Matkovic lands in the 19th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 10.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Pelicans will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Javonte Green Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Green
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Javonte Green has converted 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 11 games, 16.6% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Javonte Green has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Javonte Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Javonte Green has converted 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 11 games, 16.6% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Javonte Green has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Christian Braun has sunk 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing at home. Christian Braun has converted 76.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 30.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage. In comparison to last year's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has jumped this year to 32.5 minutes per game. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Christian Braun has sunk 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing at home. Christian Braun has converted 76.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 30.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage. In comparison to last year's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has jumped this year to 32.5 minutes per game. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-114

Aaron Gordon has sunk 65.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made over the course of the year playing at home. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 1.1 rate, Aaron Gordon's failed free throws have declined this season to 0.6 per game.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Aaron Gordon has sunk 65.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's made over the course of the year playing at home. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 1.1 rate, Aaron Gordon's failed free throws have declined this season to 0.6 per game.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Yves Missi has sunk 70.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% higher than he's converted overall this year away from home. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for three-pointers; when Jokic is playing at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 54.1% of their three-pointers (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Yves Missi has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Yves Missi has sunk 70.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% higher than he's converted overall this year away from home. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for three-pointers; when Jokic is playing at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 54.1% of their three-pointers (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Yves Missi has attempted 2.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a favorable matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a favorable matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther has attempted 6.2 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production for all stats.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Julian Strawther has attempted 6.2 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production for all stats.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-115

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.5 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 16.0 mark last year. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.5 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 16.0 mark last year. CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 70.7% mark, Jose Alvarado's free-throw efficiency has jumped this season to 80.0%.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 70.7% mark, Jose Alvarado's free-throw efficiency has jumped this season to 80.0%.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has converted 65.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The rate of shots sunk against Yves Missi has been remarkably high (65.2%) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Nikola Jokic has converted 65.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The rate of shots sunk against Yves Missi has been remarkably high (65.2%) when he is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-129

Zion Williamson has converted 10.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 7.1 mark, Zion Williamson's number of free throws has risen this year to 8.3 free throws per game.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Zion Williamson has converted 10.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 7.1 mark, Zion Williamson's number of free throws has risen this year to 8.3 free throws per game.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-112

Trey Murphy III has converted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 80.6% mark, Trey Murphy III's foul-shot performance has surged this season to 90.7%.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Trey Murphy III has converted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 80.6% mark, Trey Murphy III's foul-shot performance has surged this season to 90.7%.

Zeke Nnaji Points Scored Props • Denver

Z. Nnaji
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.19
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-106
Under
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.19
Best Odds
Over
-106
Under
-114

Zeke Nnaji has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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