Final Mar 11
WAS 103 15.0 o234.5
DET 123 -15.0 u234.5
Final Mar 11
BK 104 15.0 o223.5
CLE 109 -15.0 u223.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 114 1.5 o237.5
IND 115 -1.5 u237.5
Final Mar 11
LAC 120 -7.5 o222.5
NO 127 7.5 u222.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-33
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE47-18

Dallas @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has sunk 44.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Dante Exum

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Dante Exum has sunk 44.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 59.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year on his home court. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Payton Pritchard will likely get a boost in production across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Payton Pritchard has successfully made 59.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year on his home court. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Payton Pritchard will likely get a boost in production across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has successfully made 64.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 25.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Sam Hauser rates in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Sam Hauser has successfully made 64.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 25.4% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Sam Hauser rates in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. Daniel Gafford has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road. The clash with Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 86th percentile with rival starting Cs scoring a monstrous 40.3% of their shots from downtown this year when they are on the visiting team. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Daniel Gafford has made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. Daniel Gafford has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road. The clash with Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 86th percentile with rival starting Cs scoring a monstrous 40.3% of their shots from downtown this year when they are on the visiting team. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 82nd percentile for free-throw prowess away from his home court with a phenomenal 87.6% rate this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Klay Thompson has made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 82nd percentile for free-throw prowess away from his home court with a phenomenal 87.6% rate this year.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has attempted 5.1 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has averaged 30.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jrue Holiday has attempted 5.1 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jrue Holiday has averaged 30.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • Dallas

A. Davis
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Mavericks rank as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Anthony Davis will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

The Mavericks rank as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Anthony Davis will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has converted 54.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Jaylen Brown has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Jaylen Brown has converted 54.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Jaylen Brown has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots sunk, registering a colossal 9.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots sunk, registering a colossal 9.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Naji Marshall has successfully made a whopping 89.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 80.7 rate last season.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 4th-best in in the league with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Naji Marshall has successfully made a whopping 89.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 80.7 rate last season.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 8.0 clip, Jayson Tatum's three-point attempts have surged this year to 10.1 per game. Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Relative to last year's 8.0 clip, Jayson Tatum's three-point attempts have surged this year to 10.1 per game. Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Al Horford has sunk 88.9% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Al Horford has sunk 88.9% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Kristaps Porziņģis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porziņģis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-118

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while at home. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. While on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs, Daniel Gafford rates in the 86th percentile with a colossal 11.7 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 93rd percentile for free throws sunk, compiling an enormous 4.0 per game this year.

Kristaps Porziņģis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while at home. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. While on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs, Daniel Gafford rates in the 86th percentile with a colossal 11.7 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 93rd percentile for free throws sunk, compiling an enormous 4.0 per game this year.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Derrick White has successfully made 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Derrick White has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Derrick White has successfully made 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Derrick White has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile. The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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