BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.0 o206.5
MIN -3.0 u206.5
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Milwaukee @ Atlanta picks

State Farm Arena

MIL vs ATL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
V. Krejčí o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 caesars
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -105
9.5 -129
8.5 +100
8.5 -137
8.5 -125
8.5 -105
8.5 -104
8.5 -118

Vit Krejci has converted 51.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Vit Krejci has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year at home. Vit Krejci has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 11.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Points Scored
T. Young u29.5 Points Scored
Projection 24.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u29.5 -124 fanduel
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
28.5 -110
28.5 -118
28.5 -120
28.5 -112
28.5 -133
28.5 -103
28.5 -115
28.5 -115
29.5 +102
29.5 -124

In regard to 3-pointers, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 33.6% rate of successful threes when playing at home settles in as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Points Scored
K. Kuzma o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -130 betmgm
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -130
13.5 -105
14.5 -143
14.5 +104
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
15.5 -104
15.5 -118

The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Bucks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Total Assists
B. Portis u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +130 bet365
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -160
2.5 +130
2.5 -165
2.5 +125
2.5 -175
2.5 +126
2.5 -160
2.5 +124

Offensive rebounds save possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year. Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Points Scored
D. Lillard u29.5 Points Scored
Projection 27 (Under)
Best Odds
u29.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
29.5 -118
29.5 -115
29.5 -110
29.5 -121
29.5 -118
29.5 -118
28.5 -120
28.5 -110
29.5 +104
29.5 -128

Offensive rebounds save possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA). Damian Lillard stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

Points Scored
T. Prince o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -125 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 +110
9.5 -145
7.5 -125
7.5 -107
9.5 +116
9.5 -161
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -105

Taurean Prince has attempted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The Bucks check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the league this year (60.1%). The Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Bucks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Points Scored
B. Portis u19.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -105 fanduel
Projection updated: 77 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -118
19.5 -115
19.5 -112
19.5 -120
19.5 -125
19.5 -109
18.5 -125
18.5 -105
19.5 -115
19.5 -105

Offensive rebounds save possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against Dominick Barlow is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when matched up against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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