New Orleans @ Oklahoma City picks

Luguentz Dort has sunk 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing at home. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Out of all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 80th percentile for 3-pointers sunk away from home, compiling 1.9 per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, branding this as a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Trey Murphy III figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Compared to last year's 30.0% rate, Zion Williamson's 3-point proficiency has diminished this year to 14.3%. Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%). Zion Williamson figures to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Chet Holmgren has compiled 6.9 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production for all stats.