WAS 13.5 o234.5
DET -13.5 u234.5
LAL 7.0 o224.5
MIL -7.0 u224.5
ORL -2.5 o216.5
NO 2.5 u216.5
BK 2.0 o229.5
CHI -2.0 u229.5
SAC 7.0 o234.5
GS -7.0 u234.5
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-48
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE54-12

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has sunk 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing at home. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Luguentz Dort has sunk 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing at home. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 80th percentile for 3-pointers sunk away from home, compiling 1.9 per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, branding this as a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 80th percentile for 3-pointers sunk away from home, compiling 1.9 per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, branding this as a good matchup. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 30.0% rate, Zion Williamson's 3-point proficiency has diminished this year to 14.3%. Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%). Zion Williamson figures to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Compared to last year's 30.0% rate, Zion Williamson's 3-point proficiency has diminished this year to 14.3%. Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%). Zion Williamson figures to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 80th percentile, tallying a colossal 15.3 points per game this year. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 80th percentile, tallying a colossal 15.3 points per game this year. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.7 higher than he's made in all games this season at home. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 8.3 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.7 higher than he's made in all games this season at home. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 8.3 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

CJ McCollum has attempted and missed 10.1 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.8 rate last season. CJ McCollum has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). CJ McCollum ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

CJ McCollum has attempted and missed 10.1 field goal attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.8 rate last season. CJ McCollum has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). CJ McCollum ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has converted 8.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Williams has attempted 4.9 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.5 mark last season. Jalen Williams has tallied 32.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Jalen Williams has converted 8.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Williams has attempted 4.9 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.5 mark last season. Jalen Williams has tallied 32.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%). Trey Murphy III figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%). Trey Murphy III figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Yves Missi has made 64.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Yves Missi rates in the 77th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a colossal 2.6 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Yves Missi has made 64.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Yves Missi rates in the 77th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a colossal 2.6 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). Jordan Hawkins stands to experience a decrease in output across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). Jordan Hawkins stands to experience a decrease in output across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, tallying a whopping 32.4 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.6 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.4

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, tallying a whopping 32.4 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.6 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 7.9 mark, Isaiah Hartenstein's points per game have surged this year to 11.6. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The number of shots sunk against Yves Missi has been quite high (6.7 per game) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Relative to last year's 7.9 mark, Isaiah Hartenstein's points per game have surged this year to 11.6. The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The number of shots sunk against Yves Missi has been quite high (6.7 per game) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 6th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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