New York @ Indiana picks

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Josh Hart has shot and missed 3.0 3-point attempts per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's missed in all games this year on the road. Josh Hart has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9). The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Knicks. As a team, the New York Knicks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe as the away team: 10th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 20.5 free throw attempts per game.

Precious Achiuwa has put up 3.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put up in all games this year. Precious Achiuwa has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The New York Knicks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Bennedict Mathurin has put up 5.1 defensive rebounds per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric. Out of all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pacers. Bennedict Mathurin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

Aaron Nesmith has put up just 0.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly lower than his 0.9 offensive rebounds per game last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.