BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.0 o206.5
MIN -3.0 u206.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14

Miami @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has converted 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while at home. Isaiah Joe has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Joe is expected to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Isaiah Joe has converted 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while at home. Isaiah Joe has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Joe is expected to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has sunk 54.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home. Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Luguentz Dort has sunk 54.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home. Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 50.6% of his treys over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Davion Mitchell has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 50.6% of his treys over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Davion Mitchell has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Isaiah Hartenstein has made a whopping 4.9 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last season. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for three-pointers; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 43.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein stands to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Isaiah Hartenstein has made a whopping 4.9 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last season. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for three-pointers; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 43.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein stands to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has converted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has converted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%). The 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted a mere 4.1 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.3 mark last season. Bam Adebayo ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%). The 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted a mere 4.1 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.3 mark last season. Bam Adebayo ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 5.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 12.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 5.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 12.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has sunk 45.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season playing at home. Relative to last year's 3.5 rate, Jalen Williams's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 4.9 per game. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jalen Williams has sunk 45.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season playing at home. Relative to last year's 3.5 rate, Jalen Williams's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 4.9 per game. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 46.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made overall this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.6 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.8

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 46.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made overall this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.6 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.61
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
10.61
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-130

Terry Rozier has gone over 12.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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