Final Mar 14
BOS 103 -7.5 o212.0
MIA 91 7.5 u212.0
Final Mar 14
IND 112 -13.0 o233.0
PHI 100 13.0 u233.0
Final Mar 14
LAC 121 -5.0 o234.0
ATL 98 5.0 u234.0
Final Mar 14
CLE 133 -2.0 o244.0
MEM 124 2.0 u244.0
Final Mar 14
ORL 111 11.0 o210.0
MIN 118 -11.0 u210.0
Final Mar 14
DAL 96 12.0 o220.0
HOU 133 -12.0 u220.0
Final Mar 14
CHA 145 2.5 o231.0
SA 134 -2.5 u231.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 126 2.0 o238.0
UTA 118 -2.0 u238.0
Final Mar 14
LAL 126 15.0 o229.5
DEN 131 -15.0 u229.5
Final Mar 14
SAC 106 2.0 o231.0
PHO 122 -2.0 u231.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-33
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE18-49

Sacramento @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has sunk 2.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league while on their home court with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Jose Alvarado will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jose Alvarado has sunk 2.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league while on their home court with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Jose Alvarado will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has successfully made 64.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made over the course of the season. Keon Ellis has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Keon Ellis has successfully made 64.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made over the course of the season. Keon Ellis has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The number of points logged against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (15.1 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (80th percentile). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league while on their home court with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Yves Missi ought to get a boost in production in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Yves Missi

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

The number of points logged against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (15.1 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (80th percentile). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league while on their home court with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Yves Missi ought to get a boost in production in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine has attempted 19.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Zach LaVine has made 3.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Zach LaVine has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Zach LaVine has attempted 19.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Zach LaVine has made 3.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Zach LaVine has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 30.0% rate, Zion Williamson's three-point ability has diminished this year to 14.3%. Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game at home this year. The Pelicans have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Relative to last season's 2.1 mark, Zion Williamson's missed foul shots have risen this season to 3.0 per game.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

In comparison to last year's 30.0% rate, Zion Williamson's three-point ability has diminished this year to 14.3%. Out of all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game at home this year. The Pelicans have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Relative to last season's 2.1 mark, Zion Williamson's missed foul shots have risen this season to 3.0 per game.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 19.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk slots into the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 6.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Malik Monk has attempted 19.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk slots into the 92nd percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 6.8 per game this year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

CJ McCollum has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Pelicans have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

CJ McCollum has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Pelicans have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Kings have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from home this year. Domantas Sabonis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

The Kings have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from home this year. Domantas Sabonis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jordan Hawkins has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 6.6 rate last year. Jordan Hawkins has been on the court for a terrific 23.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.7 minutes per game last season. Out of all players in the league, Jordan Hawkins places in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Jordan Hawkins has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 6.6 rate last year. Jordan Hawkins has been on the court for a terrific 23.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.7 minutes per game last season. Out of all players in the league, Jordan Hawkins places in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 94th percentile for field goals converted, averaging a massive 8.2 per game this year. DeMar DeRozan has converted 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 94th percentile for field goals converted, averaging a massive 8.2 per game this year. DeMar DeRozan has converted 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has tallied 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Trey Murphy III has tallied 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has successfully made 52.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Keegan Murray has successfully made 52.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 5.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.11
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.11
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118

Trey Lyles has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.75
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.75
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

Jake LaRavia has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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