MIL -6.0 o230.0
WAS 6.0 u230.0
MEM -3.5 o225.5
ORL 3.5 u225.5
NY 8.5 o241.5
CLE -8.5 u241.5
MIA -3.0 o218.5
TOR 3.0 u218.5
DET -4.0 o235.5
SA 4.0 u235.5
NO 5.5 o237.0
DAL -5.5 u237.0
OKC -15.5 o234.5
UTA 15.5 u234.5
MIN 3.5 o221.0
HOU -3.5 u221.0
GS -2.0 o236.0
SAC 2.0 u236.0
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE28-27
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE28-27

Golden State @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has attempted 10.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Moses Moody has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Moses Moody has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 9.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Moses Moody

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Moses Moody has attempted 10.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Moses Moody has attempted 6.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Moses Moody has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 9.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has made 73.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 24.2% more than he's converted overall this season at home. Keon Ellis has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Keon Ellis has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Keon Ellis has made 73.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 24.2% more than he's converted overall this season at home. Keon Ellis has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Keon Ellis has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played in all games this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-105

Domantas Sabonis has compiled 24.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year at home. Domantas Sabonis has made 58.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season at home. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Domantas Sabonis has compiled 24.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year at home. Domantas Sabonis has made 58.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season at home. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 11.5 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Brandin Podziemski has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have notched 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 11.5 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Brandin Podziemski has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have notched 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-125

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 15.6 shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has sunk 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.8 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 15.6 shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has sunk 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.8 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has attempted 3.5 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.4 rate last year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Draymond Green has attempted 3.5 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.4 rate last year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has registered 33.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 9.4 higher than he's registered overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Stephen Curry has registered 33.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 9.4 higher than he's registered overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (24.4). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Malik Monk has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Malik Monk has been on the court for 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (24.4). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 6.8 rate, Zach LaVine's shots from the field sunk have risen this season to 8.5 per game. In contrast to last year's 2.4 rate, Zach LaVine's three-point shots hit have spiked this year to 3.1 per game. Zach LaVine has played 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

In comparison to last season's 6.8 rate, Zach LaVine's shots from the field sunk have risen this season to 8.5 per game. In contrast to last year's 2.4 rate, Zach LaVine's three-point shots hit have spiked this year to 3.1 per game. Zach LaVine has played 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings. The Warriors have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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