Final Apr 28
CLE 138 -8.0 o211.5
MIA 83 8.0 u211.5
Final Apr 28
HOU 106 3.5 o203.5
GS 109 -3.5 u203.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Los Angeles @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 6.8% higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 6.8% higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Dorian Finney-Smith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 57.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has sunk 45.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while on his home court. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 57.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has sunk 45.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while on his home court. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

LeBron James has tallied 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year. LeBron James has sunk 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made over the course of the year. LeBron James has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

LeBron James

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

LeBron James has tallied 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year. LeBron James has sunk 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made over the course of the year. LeBron James has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Michael Porter Jr. has made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Michael Porter Jr. has made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Dončić
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 9.4 per game this year. Luka Doncic has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Luka Dončić

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 9.4 per game this year. Luka Doncic has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 95th percentile for three-point proficiency with an exceptional 42.5% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 95th percentile for three-point proficiency with an exceptional 42.5% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers). The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Austin Reaves has totaled 24.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's totaled overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Austin Reaves has totaled 24.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's totaled overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun slots into the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 11.7 shot attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-least in the league).

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun slots into the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 11.7 shot attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a challenging matchup. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (5th-least in the league).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

Jamal Murray has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Lakers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Jamal Murray has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Lakers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jaxson Hayes has sunk 85.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for three-point shots; when Jokic is on his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 47.3% of their 3-pointers (97th percentile). The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Jaxson Hayes has sunk 85.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for three-point shots; when Jokic is on his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 47.3% of their 3-pointers (97th percentile). The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has logged 29.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile. Nikola Jokic has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.4

Nikola Jokic has logged 29.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile. Nikola Jokic has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Denver Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA). Rui Hachimura will likely suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Denver Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA). Rui Hachimura will likely suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

DeAndre Jordan Points Scored Props • Denver

D. Jordan
center C • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.58
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-118
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.58
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-118

DeAndre Jordan has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Zeke Nnaji Points Scored Props • Denver

Z. Nnaji
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.19
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.19
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105

Zeke Nnaji has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Dalton Knecht Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Knecht
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
8.89
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-110

Dalton Knecht has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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