Final Apr 28
CLE 138 -8.0 o211.5
MIA 83 8.0 u211.5
Final Apr 28
HOU 106 3.5 o203.5
GS 109 -3.5 u203.5
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30
Utah 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-65

Houston @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Walker Kessler has successfully made 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The clash with Alperen Sengun measures in the 93rd percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs converting a whopping 43.0% of their 3-point shots this year when they are on their home court. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Walker Kessler has successfully made 6.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season. Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Walker Kessler registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The clash with Alperen Sengun measures in the 93rd percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs converting a whopping 43.0% of their 3-point shots this year when they are on their home court. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 79th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 11.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 90th percentile for 3-pointers converted, registering 2.4 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 79th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 11.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 90th percentile for 3-pointers converted, registering 2.4 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has attempted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Aaron Holiday has attempted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Utah is a good one; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year on the road. The matchup against Utah is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are on their home court (most in the NBA).

Jabari Smith

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Utah is a good one; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year on the road. The matchup against Utah is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are on their home court (most in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Under
-111

Compared to last season's 23.2 clip, Lauri Markkanen's points per game have dropped this season to 19.2. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Compared to last season's 23.2 clip, Lauri Markkanen's points per game have dropped this season to 19.2. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

John Collins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Alperen Sengun has sunk 7.4 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has made 42.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home. Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.2 minutes per game this year. The number of points averaged against Walker Kessler has been remarkably high (18.2 per game) when he is at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Alperen Sengun has sunk 7.4 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has made 42.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home. Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.2 minutes per game this year. The number of points averaged against Walker Kessler has been remarkably high (18.2 per game) when he is at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

In contrast to last season's 10.9 rate, Keyonte George's shots taken have risen this season to 13.4 per game. Keyonte George has converted 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year while at home. Keyonte George has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Keyonte George has attempted 5.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Keyonte George

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

In contrast to last season's 10.9 rate, Keyonte George's shots taken have risen this season to 13.4 per game. Keyonte George has converted 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year while at home. Keyonte George has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Keyonte George has attempted 5.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
-113

Amen Thompson has sunk 6.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season on the road. In contrast to last season's 13.4% clip, Amen Thompson's 3-point ability has jumped this season to 21.9%. Amen Thompson has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Amen Thompson has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Amen Thompson has sunk 6.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season on the road. In contrast to last season's 13.4% clip, Amen Thompson's 3-point ability has jumped this season to 21.9%. Amen Thompson has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Amen Thompson has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Brice Sensabaugh Points Scored Props • Utah

B. Sensabaugh
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Brice Sensabaugh has successfully made 31.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.4% lower than he's converted over the course of the year. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Brice Sensabaugh

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Brice Sensabaugh has successfully made 31.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 9.4% lower than he's converted over the course of the year. The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA playing at home this year. The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-120

When it comes to threes, the Rockets's feeble 34.1% rate of successful threes places 3rd-worst in the league this year. The 6th-most lethargic tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Rockets. Jalen Green should suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

Jalen Green

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

When it comes to threes, the Rockets's feeble 34.1% rate of successful threes places 3rd-worst in the league this year. The 6th-most lethargic tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Jazz have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Rockets. Jalen Green should suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

Isaiah Collier Points Scored Props • Utah

I. Collier
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

Isaiah Collier has converted 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season with the home court advantage. Isaiah Collier has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a positive matchup. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Collier has made 84.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.

Isaiah Collier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Isaiah Collier has converted 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season with the home court advantage. Isaiah Collier has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a positive matchup. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Collier has made 84.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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