Final Apr 1
PHI 91 13.0 o219.0
NY 105 -13.0 u219.0
Final Apr 1
POR 127 5.5 o235.0
ATL 113 -5.5 u235.0
Final Apr 1
PHO 123 7.0 o226.0
MIL 133 -7.0 u226.0
Final Apr 1
ORL 116 -5.0 o216.5
SA 105 5.0 u216.5
Final Apr 1
TOR 118 4.0 o238.0
CHI 137 -4.0 u238.0
Final Apr 1
GS 134 -3.5 o239.0
MEM 125 3.5 u239.0
Final 2OT Apr 1
MIN 140 2.0 o229.0
DEN 139 -2.0 u229.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE63-12
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE44-32

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker stands to see a spike in output in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker stands to see a spike in output in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing away from home.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing away from home.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Chet Holmgren has totaled 15.1 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 80th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Chet Holmgren has totaled 15.1 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 80th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has compiled 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.5 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 36.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Anthony Edwards has attempted 10.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

Anthony Edwards has compiled 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.5 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 36.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Anthony Edwards has attempted 10.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a whopping 4.8 buckets per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a whopping 4.8 buckets per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 100th percentile, averaging a whopping 32.0 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.6 rate last year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.4
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 100th percentile, averaging a whopping 32.0 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.6 rate last year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 50.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 50.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The 7th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's lackluster 19.7 foul shots per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (40.6%). The 7th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's lackluster 19.7 foul shots per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Naz Reid has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's played over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.5 free throws per game (97th percentile).

Naz Reid

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Naz Reid has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Naz Reid has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's played over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.5 free throws per game (97th percentile).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 56.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 6.4% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 56.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 6.4% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 9.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Mike Conley has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's made overall this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Mike Conley has attempted 9.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Mike Conley has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league on their home court with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's made overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic