Final OT Apr 18
MIA 123 -2.0 o221.0
ATL 114 2.0 u221.0
Final Apr 18
DAL 106 6.0 o222.0
MEM 120 -6.0 u222.0
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Atlanta @ Memphis picks

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ATL vs MEM Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
D. Barlow u0.5 Total Assists
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +165 bet365
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -210
0.5 +165

Dominick Barlow has averaged a measly 0.2 assists per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.1 assists per game last year. Dominick Barlow has averaged 7.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 11th percentile. Dominick Barlow will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
M. Gueye o4.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -120 fanduel
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -115
5.5 -118
5.5 -120
5.5 -114
4.5 -130
4.5 +100
4.5 -120
4.5 -106

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Total Rebounds
M. Gueye o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -135 draftkings
Projection updated: 47 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -185
2.5 +135
2.5 -147
2.5 +108
2.5 -135
2.5 +105
2.5 -138
2.5 +108

Mouhamed Gueye has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Total Assists
C. LeVert o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -160
2.5 +120
2.5 -175
2.5 +126
2.5 -148
2.5 +112

Caris LeVert has tallied 3.6 assists per game away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
Z. Edey o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -105
8.5 -125
8.5 -121
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -114
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
8.5 -122
8.5 -104

Zach Edey has made 76.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu lands in the 97th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 44.7% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are at home. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Total Assists
M. Gueye o0.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +105 bet365
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 +105
0.5 -135
0.5 +105
0.5 -140

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
V. Williams u9.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
8.5 -128
8.5 +100

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 37.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

3-Pointers Made
D. Barlow u0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -140 bet365
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 +110
0.5 -140

Among all players in the NBA, Dominick Barlow places in the 7th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing away from home with a subpar 0.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Dominick Barlow slots into the 16th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, putting up 0.7 per game this year. Dominick Barlow has averaged 7.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA: 11th percentile. The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). Dominick Barlow will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
J. Morant u23.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u23.5 -121 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 46 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
23.5 -105
23.5 -125
23.5 -110
23.5 -121
22.5 -137
22.5 +100
22.5 -125
22.5 -105
22.5 -115
22.5 -111

Ja Morant has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

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