Final OT Apr 18
MIA 123 -2.0 o221.0
ATL 114 2.0 u221.0
Final Apr 18
DAL 106 6.0 o222.0
MEM 120 -6.0 u222.0
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Atlanta @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has made 76.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu lands in the 97th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 44.7% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are at home. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Zach Edey has made 76.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu lands in the 97th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 44.7% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are at home. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Vince Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 37.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

Vince Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Vince Williams Jr. has converted 37.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

Ja Morant has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

Ja Morant

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Ja Morant has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-110

Desmond Bane has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Desmond Bane has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Santi Aldama has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Santi Aldama has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has sunk 51.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Luke Kennard rates in the 85th percentile for three-point effectiveness at home with a terrific 41.6% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard measures in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Luke Kennard has sunk 51.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Luke Kennard rates in the 85th percentile for three-point effectiveness at home with a terrific 41.6% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard measures in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has made 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Onyeka Okongwu has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Onyeka Okongwu has made 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Onyeka Okongwu has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Trae Young has attempted 20.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have put up 22.8 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Trae Young has attempted 20.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.9 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have put up 22.8 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has registered 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's registered overall this year at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 56.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year on his home court. Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 29.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Jaren Jackson Jr. has registered 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's registered overall this year at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 56.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year on his home court. Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 29.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1). The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-106

Caris LeVert has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Caris LeVert has attempted 5.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Caris LeVert has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Caris LeVert has attempted 5.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 58.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year while on the road. Zaccharie Risacher has made 54.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 58.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year while on the road. Zaccharie Risacher has made 54.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Dyson Daniels has attempted 12.2 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.8 mark last season. Dyson Daniels has attempted 3.2 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.1 rate last season. Dyson Daniels has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Dyson Daniels has attempted 12.2 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.8 mark last season. Dyson Daniels has attempted 3.2 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.1 rate last season. Dyson Daniels has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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