Minnesota @ Miami picks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 40.2% of his three-point shots while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied 32.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 6.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 91.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's poor 44.7% field goal rate comes in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from facing the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Donte DiVincenzo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from facing the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Anthony Edwards stands to see a decline in production across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

Davion Mitchell has tallied 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Davion Mitchell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance across the board.

Mike Conley has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from facing the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production for all stats.

Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Julius Randle has made 91.9% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year.