LIVE 06:23 3rd Apr 22
MIN 51 5.5 o212.0
LAL 67 -5.5 u212.0
Final Apr 22
MIL 115 4.5 o228.5
IND 123 -4.5 u228.5
Final Apr 22
MEM 99 14.0 o230.0
OKC 118 -14.0 u230.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14

Denver @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 77th percentile, compiling a colossal 14.2 points per game when playing at home this year. Chet Holmgren has made 53.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.3% more than he's made over the course of the season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a positive matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 77th percentile, compiling a colossal 14.2 points per game when playing at home this year. Chet Holmgren has made 53.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.3% more than he's made over the course of the season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a positive matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has been on the court for a whopping 23.7 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 17.5 minutes per game last year. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Peyton Watson has been on the court for a whopping 23.7 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 17.5 minutes per game last year. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Peyton Watson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Luguentz Dort has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile). The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's lackluster 20.0 foul shot attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Cason Wallace has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile). The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's lackluster 20.0 foul shot attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 3.2 clip, Isaiah Hartenstein's shots hit have surged this season to 4.8 per game. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Isaiah Hartenstein ought to see a spike in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

In comparison to last season's 3.2 clip, Isaiah Hartenstein's shots hit have surged this season to 4.8 per game. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Isaiah Hartenstein ought to see a spike in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has totaled 26.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's totaled overall this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%). The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Jamal Murray has totaled 26.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's totaled overall this year. Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%). The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
32
Best Odds
Under
-122

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's lackluster 20.0 foul shot attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's lackluster 20.0 foul shot attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has sunk 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Russell Westbrook has sunk 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-106

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year when playing away from home. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year when playing away from home. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has made 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 27.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Aaron Wiggins has made 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 27.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-115

Christian Braun has successfully made 8.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Christian Braun has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road. Christian Braun has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Christian Braun has successfully made 8.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Christian Braun has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road. Christian Braun has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 100th percentile for shots hit, tallying a colossal 11.0 per game this year. Nikola Jokic has made a terrific 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 mark last year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite high (2.6 per game) when at home and facing other starting Cs this year (89th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 100th percentile for shots hit, tallying a colossal 11.0 per game this year. Nikola Jokic has made a terrific 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 mark last year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile. The number of 3-point shots attempted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite high (2.6 per game) when at home and facing other starting Cs this year (89th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has attempted 17.1 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 14.2 rate last year. Jalen Williams has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Jalen Williams has attempted 17.1 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 14.2 rate last year. Jalen Williams has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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