BOS -4.5 o198.0
ORL 4.5 u198.0
IND 5.5 o230.5
MIL -5.5 u230.5
LAL 3.5 o207.0
MIN -3.5 u207.0
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Dallas @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Under
+100

Naji Marshall has converted just 25.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 43.2 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, creating a hard matchup. The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Naji Marshall has converted just 25.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 43.2 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, creating a hard matchup. The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Fred VanVleet has played 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Fred VanVleet has played 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
center C • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell ranks in the 18th percentile for playing time, registering a measly 9.9 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 8.2 field goals per game (3rd percentile). The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 71.9% clip, Dwight Powell's free-throw performance has diminished this season to 60.6%.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.9

Among all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell ranks in the 18th percentile for playing time, registering a measly 9.9 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 8.2 field goals per game (3rd percentile). The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 71.9% clip, Dwight Powell's free-throw performance has diminished this season to 60.6%.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from home. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this season.

Dante Exum

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Dante Exum has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from home. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Dante Exum has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's converted overall this season.

Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Christie
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+102

Max Christie has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Max Christie has averaged 32.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. In comparison to last season's 0.6 clip, Max Christie's free throws scored have risen this season to 1.6 per game.

Max Christie

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Max Christie has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Max Christie has averaged 32.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. In comparison to last season's 0.6 clip, Max Christie's free throws scored have risen this season to 1.6 per game.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Jalen Green

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.9 minutes per game while at home this year. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.9 minutes per game while at home this year. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Tari Eason places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Tari Eason

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Tari Eason places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

P.J. Washington has attempted 14.9 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage. P.J. Washington has played 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

P.J. Washington has attempted 14.9 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage. P.J. Washington has played 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Alperen Sengun has sunk 72.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Alperen Sengun has converted 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 75.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Alperen Sengun has played 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The clash with Dwight Powell measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a monstrous 65.2% of their field goal attempts this year when they have the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Alperen Sengun has sunk 72.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Alperen Sengun has converted 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 75.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Alperen Sengun has played 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The clash with Dwight Powell measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs making a monstrous 65.2% of their field goal attempts this year when they have the home court advantage. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game on his home court this year. When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game on his home court this year. When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's poor 109.8 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-108

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Klay Thompson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Klay Thompson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's converted in all games this year on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has sunk 56.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.4% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's converted in all games this year on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has sunk 56.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.4% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Mavericks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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