LIVE 03:32 2nd Apr 18
DAL 41 6.0 o222.0
MEM 64 -6.0 u222.0
Final OT Apr 18
MIA 123 -2.0 o221.0
ATL 114 2.0 u221.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
New York 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE51-31

Miami @ New York props

Madison Square Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 59.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 10.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 59.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 10.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on field goal attempts (lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a tough matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA). Andrew Wiggins stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on field goal attempts (lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a tough matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA). Andrew Wiggins stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Miles McBride Points Scored Props • New York

M. McBride
point guard PG • New York
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Miles McBride has made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Miles McBride has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.

Miles McBride

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Miles McBride has made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Miles McBride has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (75th percentile). The matchup with Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 4th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs nailing only 17.8% of their shots from downtown this year when they are on the away squad. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The faceoff with Karl-Anthony Towns as it relates to getting to the foul line registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.0 foul shots per game this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (75th percentile). The matchup with Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 4th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs nailing only 17.8% of their shots from downtown this year when they are on the away squad. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The faceoff with Karl-Anthony Towns as it relates to getting to the foul line registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.0 foul shots per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • New York

K. Towns
center C • New York
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.6 fouls per game this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The New York Knicks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The showdown with Bam Adebayo when it comes to getting to the foul line rates in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.6 fouls per game this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The New York Knicks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The showdown with Bam Adebayo when it comes to getting to the foul line rates in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.5 free throws per game this year.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are on their home court (3rd-least in the league). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are on their home court (3rd-least in the league). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Knicks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The New York Knicks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Josh Hart has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Knicks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The New York Knicks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 90.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 90.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.2 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat. Tyler Herro has made 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.2 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Heat. Tyler Herro has made 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.

Mikal Bridges Points Scored Props • New York

M. Bridges
small forward SF • New York
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Mikal Bridges has converted 59.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Mikal Bridges places in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 37.9 minutes per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.

Mikal Bridges

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Mikal Bridges has converted 59.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Mikal Bridges places in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 37.9 minutes per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has made 35.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.7% lower than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court. Haywood Highsmith has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this season. The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for threes; when the New York Knicks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (18.6%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Haywood Highsmith has made 35.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.7% lower than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court. Haywood Highsmith has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this season. The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for threes; when the New York Knicks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (18.6%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Mitchell Robinson is expected to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.7

In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. The 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Mitchell Robinson is expected to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

OG Anunoby Points Scored Props • New York

O. Anunoby
power forward PF • New York
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

OG Anunoby has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. OG Anunoby has made 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, OG Anunoby ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 36.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.

OG Anunoby

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

OG Anunoby has attempted 16.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. OG Anunoby has made 2.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, OG Anunoby ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 36.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Knicks's exceptional 118.2 points per game as the home team rates 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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