MIL 5.5 o226.0
IND -5.5 u226.0
LAC 2.5 o224.5
DEN -2.5 u224.5
DET 7.5 o220.5
NY -7.5 u220.5
MIN 4.0 o216.5
LAL -4.0 u216.5
Detroit 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE44-38
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Detroit @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 5.2 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.4 foul shots per game this year when the Miami Heat are playing at home (9th-most in the NBA).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 5.2 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.4 foul shots per game this year when the Miami Heat are playing at home (9th-most in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 51.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 11.8% higher than he's made from three overall this season while playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league). Jaime Jaquez Jr. should see an increase in performance in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 51.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 11.8% higher than he's made from three overall this season while playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league). Jaime Jaquez Jr. should see an increase in performance in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Cade Cunningham has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile). The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Detroit Pistons have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Cade Cunningham is expected to suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Cade Cunningham has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile). The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Detroit Pistons have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Cade Cunningham is expected to suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-132
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-132
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 4th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Jalen Duren has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Detroit Pistons have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been very low this year (2.5 foul shot attempts per game: 21st percentile).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 4th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Jalen Duren has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The Detroit Pistons have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been very low this year (2.5 foul shot attempts per game: 21st percentile).

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Ausar Thompson has converted 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road. Ausar Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's sunk overall this season. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The showdown with Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 100th percentile with rival starting SFs converting an enormous 44.2% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are on the road.

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Ausar Thompson has converted 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road. Ausar Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's sunk overall this season. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The showdown with Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 100th percentile with rival starting SFs converting an enormous 44.2% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are on the road.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-125

In contrast to last year's 9.0 rate, Malik Beasley's shots have increased this year to 12.9 per game. Relative to last season's 2.8 mark, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers scored have surged this season to 3.9 per game. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

In contrast to last year's 9.0 rate, Malik Beasley's shots have increased this year to 12.9 per game. Relative to last season's 2.8 mark, Malik Beasley's 3-pointers scored have surged this season to 3.9 per game. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.4% higher than he's made from three overall this season. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against Detroit is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.7 foul shots per game this year when the Detroit Pistons are on the road (2nd-most in the league).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.4% higher than he's made from three overall this season. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against Detroit is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.7 foul shots per game this year when the Detroit Pistons are on the road (2nd-most in the league).

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has converted 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tobias Harris has averaged 31.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Tobias Harris has converted 54.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tobias Harris has averaged 31.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Andrew Wiggins has converted an impressive 2.1 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.3 mark last year. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Andrew Wiggins has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Andrew Wiggins has converted an impressive 2.1 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.3 mark last year. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 82nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Duncan Robinson has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 6.4 shots made from the field per game while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has played 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Bam Adebayo has sunk 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 6.4 shots made from the field per game while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has played 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Bam Adebayo has sunk 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.3 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 2.3 rate last season.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.3 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 2.3 rate last season.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has sunk 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The clash with Jalen Duren registers in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs nailing an enormous 1.0 3-point shots per game this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The clash with Jalen Duren when it comes to getting to the foul line registers in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kel'el Ware has sunk 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-pointers. The clash with Jalen Duren registers in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs nailing an enormous 1.0 3-point shots per game this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons). The clash with Jalen Duren when it comes to getting to the foul line registers in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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