Boston @ Sacramento picks

Payton Pritchard has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from downtown without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has attempted 9.6 treys per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis has sunk 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home. Keon Ellis will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production for all stats.

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 94th percentile for shooting proficiency on his home court with a remarkable 61.5% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 59.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while at home. Domantas Sabonis has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis will likely see a rise in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics. Jayson Tatum will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).