UTA 2.5 o221.5
CHA -2.5 u221.5
LAC -2.5 o210.5
ORL 2.5 u210.5
SAC 5.0 o235.5
IND -5.0 u235.5
MIA -9.0 o216.0
WAS 9.0 u216.0
BOS -5.0 o236.5
MEM 5.0 u236.5
CHI 14.5 o239.5
OKC -14.5 u239.5
BK 9.0 o217.5
DAL -9.0 u217.5
HOU 4.0 o225.0
LAL -4.0 u225.0
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE55-19
Sacramento 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-38

Boston @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from downtown without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has attempted 9.6 treys per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Payton Pritchard has sunk 40.2% of his attempts from downtown without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has attempted 9.6 treys per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has sunk 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home. Keon Ellis will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production for all stats.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Keon Ellis has sunk 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.2% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home. Keon Ellis will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production for all stats.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 94th percentile for shooting proficiency on his home court with a remarkable 61.5% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 59.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while at home. Domantas Sabonis has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis will likely see a rise in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 94th percentile for shooting proficiency on his home court with a remarkable 61.5% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has converted 59.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while at home. Domantas Sabonis has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis will likely see a rise in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Jayson Tatum will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Jayson Tatum will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive output. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Compared to last year's 7.6 clip, DeMar DeRozan's number of free throws has diminished this year to 5.6 free throws per game. The matchup against Boston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Compared to last year's 7.6 clip, DeMar DeRozan's number of free throws has diminished this year to 5.6 free throws per game. The matchup against Boston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 6.8 mark, Zach LaVine's field goals hit have spiked this year to 8.4 per game. Relative to last season's 2.4 clip, Zach LaVine's three-point shots converted have jumped this season to 3.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Zach LaVine will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production for all stats.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Compared to last year's 6.8 mark, Zach LaVine's field goals hit have spiked this year to 8.4 per game. Relative to last season's 2.4 clip, Zach LaVine's three-point shots converted have jumped this season to 3.1 per game. Among all players in the league, Zach LaVine comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Zach LaVine will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production for all stats.

Kristaps Porziņģis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porziņģis
center C • Boston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kristaps Porzingis has logged 18.6 points per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 84th percentile for 3-point performance away from his home court with a superb 40.1% rate this year. Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porziņģis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Kristaps Porzingis has logged 18.6 points per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 84th percentile for 3-point performance away from his home court with a superb 40.1% rate this year. Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Derrick White has compiled 15.9 points per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Derrick White has made 4.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.6 minutes per game away from home this year. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Derrick White has compiled 15.9 points per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Derrick White has made 4.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Derrick White rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.6 minutes per game away from home this year. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has totaled 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.2 more than he's totaled overall this season at home. Malik Monk has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Malik Monk has totaled 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.2 more than he's totaled overall this season at home. Malik Monk has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 threes per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Sacramento

J. LaRavia
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jake LaRavia has successfully made 59.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jake LaRavia will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Jake LaRavia

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Jake LaRavia has successfully made 59.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jake LaRavia will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. Keegan Murray should see an increase in production for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. Keegan Murray should see an increase in production for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 49.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has successfully made a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.1 rate last season.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 49.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup. The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has successfully made a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.1 rate last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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