Milwaukee @ Denver picks
Ball Arena
MIL vs DEN Picks
NBA PicksRyan Rollins has attempted 4.1 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 mark last year. In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Ryan Rollins's playing time has surged this season to 12.5 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Nuggets). Ryan Rollins has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (20.5%). The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance across the board.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The matchup with Brook Lopez when it comes to drawing fouls places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). AJ Green will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.
Christian Braun has made 76.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 18.6% more than he's converted overall this year. Christian Braun has averaged 33.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a strong one for threes; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.5%). The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Ryan Rollins has posted 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.6 higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road. In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Ryan Rollins's playing time has surged this season to 12.5 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
Aaron Gordon has compiled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 more than he's compiled over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played over the course of the season. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production in all stat categories.
MIL vs DEN Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks68% picking Milwaukee vs Denver to go Over
Total PicksMIL 294, DEN 137