LAC 8.0 o229.5
CLE -8.0 u229.5
POR 8.0 o221.0
NY -8.0 u221.0
GS -12.0 o232.5
SA 12.0 u232.5
DET 7.0 o226.0
MIN -7.0 u226.0
CHA 3.0 o213.0
NO -3.0 u213.0
ATL 4.0 o236.0
MIL -4.0 u236.0
TOR -4.5 o224.0
PHI 4.5 u224.0
HOU -2.0 o224.5
PHO 2.0 u224.5
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE35-38
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE33-41

Atlanta @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.3

The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The matchup against the Hawks is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks). Compared to last season's 2.3 clip, Tyler Herro's free throws scored have spiked this season to 3.5 per game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The matchup against the Hawks is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks). Compared to last season's 2.3 clip, Tyler Herro's free throws scored have spiked this season to 3.5 per game.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has sunk 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season at home. Davion Mitchell has sunk a whopping 41.5% of his treys this year, significantly more than his 30.5 rate last year. Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Davion Mitchell has sunk 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season at home. Davion Mitchell has sunk a whopping 41.5% of his treys this year, significantly more than his 30.5 rate last year. Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has converted 62.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 9.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Kel'el Ware has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 higher than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The rate of threes sunk against Onyeka Okongwu has been remarkably high (39.7%) when he is playing on the road and facing fellow starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Kel'el Ware has converted 62.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 9.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Kel'el Ware has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 higher than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The rate of threes sunk against Onyeka Okongwu has been remarkably high (39.7%) when he is playing on the road and facing fellow starting Cs this year (86th percentile). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

The least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-140

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Heat). Trae Young is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Trae Young

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Heat). Trae Young is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Heat). Caris LeVert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Heat). Caris LeVert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-105

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.6 mark last year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest FG% in the league this year (55.3%). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.6 mark last year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the highest FG% in the league this year (55.3%). The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has made 6.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 63.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The matchup with Kel'el Ware measures in the 97th percentile with rival starting Cs draining a colossal 41.3% of their 3-point shots this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Onyeka Okongwu has made 6.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 63.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's converted overall this year. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The matchup with Kel'el Ware measures in the 97th percentile with rival starting Cs draining a colossal 41.3% of their 3-point shots this year. The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 4.8 rate, Dyson Daniels's shots from the field have risen this season to 12.2 per game. Dyson Daniels has sunk 69.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 28.1% higher than he's made overall this year on the road. Dyson Daniels has played an impressive 33.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 21.1 minutes per game last year. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

In comparison to last season's 4.8 rate, Dyson Daniels's shots from the field have risen this season to 12.2 per game. Dyson Daniels has sunk 69.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 28.1% higher than he's made overall this year on the road. Dyson Daniels has played an impressive 33.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 21.1 minutes per game last year. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Alec Burks places in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 0.7 fouls per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks). Alec Burks has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home.

Alec Burks

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Alec Burks has made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Alec Burks places in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 0.7 fouls per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Hawks). Alec Burks has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 47.9% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 14.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 47.9% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 14.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%). The quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Hawks. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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