LIVE End Apr 20
MEM 63 13.0 o232.0
OKC 112 -13.0 u232.0
ORL 12.5 o205.5
BOS -12.5 u205.5
MIA 12.5 o215.0
CLE -12.5 u215.0
GS 1.0 o213.5
HOU -1.0 u213.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Miami @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Alec Burks slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 0.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

Alec Burks

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Alec Burks has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Alec Burks slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 0.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this season when playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Mouhamed Gueye has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% higher than he's made in all games this season when playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Mouhamed Gueye has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Zaccharie Risacher has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 27.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year on his home court.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Zaccharie Risacher has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 27.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year on his home court.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line. Tyler Herro will likely experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line. Tyler Herro will likely experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Bam Adebayo is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Bam Adebayo is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-133
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-133
Projection Rating

Caris LeVert has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Hawks.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Caris LeVert has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Hawks.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has averaged 27.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The number of points compiled against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (15.4 per game) when he is at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (94th percentile). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat. The clash with Onyeka Okongwu in regard to getting to the free-throw line slots into only the 88th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when they are on the road.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kel'el Ware has made 60.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has averaged 27.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The number of points compiled against Onyeka Okongwu has been very high (15.4 per game) when he is at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (94th percentile). The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat. The clash with Onyeka Okongwu in regard to getting to the free-throw line slots into only the 88th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when they are on the road.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Dyson Daniels has registered a whopping 14.0 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.4 points per game last year. Dyson Daniels has tallied a terrific 33.9 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 21.1 minutes per game last year. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, creating a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Dyson Daniels has registered a whopping 14.0 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.4 points per game last year. Dyson Daniels has tallied a terrific 33.9 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 21.1 minutes per game last year. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, creating a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a positive matchup. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a positive matchup. The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Davion Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production across the board.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Davion Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production across the board.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Hawks. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been very low this year (1.9 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 6th percentile).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Hawks. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been very low this year (1.9 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 6th percentile).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Trae Young has notched 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's notched in all games this year. Trae Young has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Trae Young has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Trae Young has notched 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's notched in all games this year. Trae Young has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Trae Young has played 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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