NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game April 12, 2026

Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Toronto Raptors logo TOR Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Spread
Toronto Raptors logo TOR -19.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Looking to fend off any possibility of slipping into a play-in spot, the Raptors will be highly motivated to wipe the floor with the league’s worst offense. The Nets also remain littered with injuries, so I’ll take Toronto to not let up on Sunday.

Points Scored
MS
Malachi Smith o9.5 Points Scored (-185)
Projection 14.45 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.. The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).
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Charlotte Hornets logo CHA @ New York Knicks logo NY Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Kon Knueppel logo
Kon Knueppel o14.5 Points Scored (-194)
Projection 18.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against New York is a favorable one; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (21.5).. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
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Atlanta Hawks logo ATL @ Miami Heat logo MIA Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Jalen Johnson logo
Jalen Johnson o19.5 Points Scored (-148)
Projection 23.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In terms of scoring, the Hawks's excellent 122.1 points per game settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%).. The 4th-speediest tempo road team in the league this year has been the Hawks.. The Hawks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
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Orlando Magic logo ORL @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
Orlando Magic logo Boston Celtics logo u217.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Orlando's defensive rating over that same stretch is 115.3. That sounds like points until you realize the teams they've been running up and down the floor were actually capable of exploiting it. 

Garza and Scheierman can score, but the Celtics' reserves are not that team. They don't have enough overall firepower to punish a leaky defense, but they will scrap like crazy defensively. 

Take the Under and don't look back.

 

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Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Tyrese Maxey logo
Tyrese Maxey o24.5 Points Scored (-164)
Projection 30.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the 76ers.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 7th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Points Scored
VJ Edgecombe logo
VJ Edgecombe u18.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 16.56 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 76ers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.
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Utah Jazz logo UTA @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Sun, Apr 12 • 8:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
LeBron James logo
LeBron James u28.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 25.52 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Relative to last season's 24.5 clip, LeBron James's points per game have fallen this season to 20.1.. The Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Total Assists
Luke Kennard logo
Luke Kennard u5.5 Total Assists (-105)
Projection 3.71 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
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New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ Minnesota Timberwolves logo MIN Sun, Apr 12 • 8:30 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Rebounds
Jeremiah Fears logo
Jeremiah Fears o4.5 Total Rebounds (+150)
Projection 5.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 7th-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
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Sacramento Kings logo SAC @ Portland Trail Blazers logo POR Sun, Apr 12 • 8:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Sacramento Kings logo SAC +16.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Portland is just 3-4 against the spread at home as a double-digit favorite this season. Those three covers came against Washington, Brooklyn, and Milwaukee, and the Kings have been quietly covering all month.

The Trail Blazers are below .500 ATS when asked to lay big numbers on their own floor, and that's why we’re taking the points and Sacramento.

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Phoenix Suns logo PHO @ Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC Sun, Apr 12 • 8:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Aaron Wiggins logo
Aaron Wiggins o14.5 Points Scored (+135)
Projection 15.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In regard to offense, the Thunder's terrific 128.6 points per game rates 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the league).
Points Scored
Nikola Topic logo
Nikola Topic o14.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 16.78 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In regard to offense, the Thunder's terrific 128.6 points per game rates 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
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Denver Nuggets logo DEN @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Sun, Apr 12 • 8:30 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Nikola Jokic logo
Nikola Jokic o15.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 21.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets's superb 122.0 points per game places best in the league this year.. The 4th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
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