Atlanta Hawks

1st in Southeast (46 - 35)

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Sat, Apr 25 18:00 ET

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Points Scored
Jalen Brunson logo Jalen Brunson o26.5 Points Scored (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

When the playoffs roll around, Jalen Brunson elevates his scoring to a new level. Since 2023-24, Brunson is one of just four players to average 30+ points per game, and he’s the only one to play in more than six games. With an average of 30.4 points across his last 34 playoff games, Brunson has a proven track record in critical games. 

 

3 LEG PARLAY
Jalen Brunson profile picture
Jalen Brunson o26.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
New York Knicks logo
NY -1.5
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New York Knicks logo Atlanta Hawks logo
o214.5
Total
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Pick made: 23 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Each of the last two games of the series have been decided by one point, and four of six head-to-head matchups in 2025-26 have been decided by three points or fewer. Game 4 will be a dog fight, but I expect Brunson to lead the Knicks to a crucial victory. A win for New York makes this a best of three series with home court advantage, but a loss means the Knicks will need to win three straight. After coming up just shy in Games 2 and 3, I expect the Knicks to play with urgency and get the job done on the road before coming back to the Garden.

This hasn’t been a high-scoring series, but the point totals keep creeping down, and we can find value in the Over. Three of six games between these teams have gone for at least 215 points, and two more went for 213. Game 3 totaled 217 points despite two of New York’s starters combining for just two points. I’ll bet the Over as New York gets back on track offensively.

4 LEG PARLAY
Jalen Brunson profile picture
Jalen Brunson o26.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
New York Knicks logo
NY -1.5
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Josh Hart profile picture
Josh Hart o11.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
Mikal Bridges profile picture
Mikal Bridges o10.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
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Pick made: 23 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Josh Hart finished with just two points on 1-of-9 shooting in Game 3, and he’s got to be more productive. Improved scoring from New York’s starters is crucial, as the Knicks have lost two straight games by just one point. Hart scored 12+ in 18 of 33 road games in the regular season, and he’s due for a bounce-back performance in a critical Game 4.

Mikal Bridges has scored 21 total points on 8-of-22 shooting through the first three games of this series. That’s dreadful for a guy who was brought in to be the missing piece on a contending team. Bridges logged only 21 minutes in Game 3 in favor of Miles McBride (15 points), and I expect the benching and poor performance to motivate him in Saturday’s high-stakes matchup.

Points Scored
Jalen Brunson logo
Jalen Brunson u27.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 24.26 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to offense, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.8 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 15 games.. The most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the New York Knicks.. The matchup against the Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).
Points Scored
Onyeka Okongwu logo
Onyeka Okongwu o12.5 Points Scored (-111)
Projection 14.82 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.. The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Mikal Bridges logo
Mikal Bridges o10.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 12.09 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).. The New York Knicks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Hawks).. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.. The matchup against Atlanta may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).
Total Rebounds
Karl-Anthony Towns logo
Karl-Anthony Towns o11.5 Total Rebounds (-110)
Projection 13.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 6th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Total Assists
Onyeka Okongwu logo
Onyeka Okongwu o2.5 Total Assists (+139)
Projection 2.87 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.. The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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57% picking New York

57%
43%

Total Picks NY 187, ATL 142

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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'SouthernMotion' is picking New York to cover (-1.5)

SouthernMotion is #1 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (37-28-0) and +14150 units on the season.

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ATL
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'bonny2bag' is picking New York to cover (-1.5)

bonny2bag is #2 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (38-35-0) and +13140 units on the season.

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'PMaeson' is picking New York to cover (-1.5)

PMaeson is #5 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (35-24-0) and +11200 units on the season.

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'chickenhawk3233' is picking Atlanta to cover (+1.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (19-7-0) and +10350 units on the season.

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