Detroit Pistons Picks
1st in Central
(3 - 0)
Next Game
DET @ NY Picks
NBA PicksKarl-Anthony Towns is averaging 12.0 rebounds per game to start the season, in line with how he performed over his first two years with the New York Knicks. The Detroit Pistons haven't been a particularly imposing team on the boards, ranking 17th in rebounding rate to start the season after snagging 52.9% of boards last year. I like KAT to continue pounding the glass, and I'm trading on him to collect 12+ rebounds at up to 60%.
Duncan Robinson is averaging 19.7 ppg on 11.3 shots per game, the most of his career, and his playing time (29.0 minutes per game) is also above his career average and slightly up from last season.
So far this year, Robinson has scored at least 17 points in each of Detroit's three games. While I don't expect him to stay near 20 ppg all season, I do think he's a great bet to pick up 15+ points right now at up to 40%.
Right now, the New York Knicks rank 30th in offensive efficiency (98.5) and aren't doing nearly enough defensively to make up for that. On the other hand, the Detroit Pistons rank top six in both offensive and defensive efficiency to start the season. I'm backing Detroit to cover getting +3.5 or more.
The Jalen Duren injury looms large against Karl-Anthony Towns, while Ausar Thompson's questionable tag adds another concern for Detroit. If Thompson sits, the Pistons lose a key point-of-attack defender against Jalen Brunson. I price the Knicks as showing an edge at 60% favorites even with Thompson projected to play limited minutes, making New York an appealing side. If Thompson is ruled out, the Knicks' edge only grows.
The New York Knicks are playing solid defense to go along with putrid offense, and that combination has led them to hit the Under in all three of their games, all going below tonight's total. I'm backing the Under tonight as well. I'll also add Cade Cunningham to hit at least two threes tonight to round out my combo, as he's averaged 2+ threes per game over each of his last two seasons, and has hit multiple shots from deep in his last two games.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus52% picking Detroit vs New York to go Under
Total PicksDET 131, NY 142
DET @ NY · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Brunson
(PG)
u25.5 Points Scored
23.64 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
22.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. McBride
(PG)
o7.5 Points Scored
9.05 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
20.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
C. Cunningham
(PG)
u23.5 Points Scored
21.25 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
18.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
O. Anunoby
(PF)
u16.5 Points Scored
14.92 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
17.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Reed
(C)
u12.5 Points Scored
11.67 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
16.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. Bridges
(SF)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.81 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
14.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
L. Shamet
(SG)
o7.5 Points Scored
7.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Collins
(PF)
u15.5 Points Scored
14.70 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Towns
(C)
u19.5 Points Scored
19.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Hart
(SG)
u11.5 Points Scored
11.28 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Thompson
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
9.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Robinson
(SF)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Collins
(PF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
6.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
19.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Reed
(C)
u8.5 Total Rebounds
7.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
18.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Hart
(SG)
o7.5 Total Rebounds
7.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
11.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Robinson
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.69 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
9.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
L. Shamet
(SG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.05 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
C. Cunningham
(PG)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Brunson
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Towns
(C)
o11.5 Total Rebounds
12.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
O. Anunoby
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
M. Bridges
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.52 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Thompson
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Thompson
(SF)
u3.5 Total Assists
2.87 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
22.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. Cunningham
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.84 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
19.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
M. McBride
(PG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
11.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
M. Bridges
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. Towns
(C)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Reed
(C)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.11 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
L. Shamet
(SG)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.25 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Brunson
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
6.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Robinson
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
0.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
O. Anunoby
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Collins
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Hart
(SG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Reed
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
27.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
O. Anunoby
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
12.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Hart
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. McBride
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. Bridges
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
L. Shamet
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Collins
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Brunson
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.18 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. Towns
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Robinson
(SF)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
C. Cunningham
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
DET @ NY · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'MrBaggins' picks Detroit vs New York to go Under (218.5)
MrBaggins is #1 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'DKSTACKER' picks Detroit vs New York to go Under (218.5)
DKSTACKER is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +1950 units on the season.
'dotlife162' picks Detroit vs New York to go Under (218.5)
dotlife162 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'hudsoncty3344' picks Detroit vs New York to go Over (218.5)
hudsoncty3344 is #3 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'nahfetest' picks Detroit vs New York to go Over (219.5)
nahfetest is #4 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'hazy' picks Detroit vs New York to go Under (218.5)
hazy is #6 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'tvigilante2020' picks Detroit vs New York to go Over (218.5)
tvigilante2020 is #8 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'fishercz' picks Detroit vs New York to go Over (218.5)
fishercz is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'rhythmpants' picks Detroit vs New York to go Over (218.5)
rhythmpants is #9 on picking games that New York is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.