Nickeil Alexander-Walker’s assists prop is trading at +125 on DraftKings, and I think that number offers value, as I project it closer to -135. With Trae Young out, there are obvious playmaking opportunities available, but I also expect Alexander-Walker to play more minutes on Tuesday than we actually need to justify this edge. The Hawks face the Detroit Pistons, who sit atop the Eastern Conference, and Atlanta isn’t on a back-to-back, so his workload shouldn’t be limited. Alexander-Walker will likely be matched up with Duncan Robinson, a matchup the Hawks should look to exploit, which in turn should generate additional potential assists.
The Detroit Pistons have won 10 straight games, yet they somehow enter Tuesday’s matchup against the Atlanta Hawks as underdogs. The injury report plays a major role in that, but let’s be honest — the Hawks are still a strong Eastern Conference team, even without Trae Young. In the most likely worst-case scenario, Cade Cunningham and Ausar Thompson suit up for the Pistons while Kristaps Porzingis and Onyeka Okongwu sit for the Hawks. Even then, I still project the Hawks as 1-point favorites in this spot, so at worst, your bet landed right around fair value.
Total PicksDET 274, ATL 101
mlevine is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.
Gunner28 is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5600 units on the season.
nogame is #7 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.
wallyswahoos is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (8-5-0) and +4600 units on the season.