Golden State Warriors

3rd in Pacific (41 - 31)

Next Game

Fri, Mar 28 20:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for threes; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for threes; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has logged 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.2 more than he's logged overall this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Stephen Curry has logged 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.2 more than he's logged overall this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

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Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Moses Moody has tallied 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

Moses Moody

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Moses Moody has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Moses Moody has tallied 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

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Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Brown
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has converted 53.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Bruce Brown has averaged 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Bruce Brown has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Bruce Brown has converted 53.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Bruce Brown has averaged 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Bruce Brown has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.

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Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Yves Missi has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The faceoff with Draymond Green slots into the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs notching just 10.5 points per game this year when they are at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Yves Missi

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Yves Missi has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The faceoff with Draymond Green slots into the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs notching just 10.5 points per game this year when they are at home. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Brandin Podziemski stands to suffer a reduction in output across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Brandin Podziemski stands to suffer a reduction in output across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Olynyk
center C • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-104

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 68.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, easily managing to draw fouls.

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 68.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, easily managing to draw fouls.

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Karlo Matkovic Points Scored Props • New Orleans

K. Matkovic
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Karlo Matkovic has made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this year while at home. Karlo Matkovic has successfully made 52.5% of his three-pointers at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Karlo Matkovic has tallied 22.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Karlo Matkovic will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Karlo Matkovic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Karlo Matkovic has made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this year while at home. Karlo Matkovic has successfully made 52.5% of his three-pointers at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Karlo Matkovic has tallied 22.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Karlo Matkovic will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

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Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Jose Alvarado has successfully made 50.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.6% less than he's made over the course of the year.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans. Jose Alvarado has successfully made 50.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.6% less than he's made over the course of the year.

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Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 63.6% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 27.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 63.6% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 27.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

About the Golden State Warriors

Last Updated: April 11, 2023

The Golden State Warriors are nearing full strength for the first time since mid-season just as the NBA playoffs are set to begin.

Both Gary Payton II and Anrew Wiggins are returning to the team for another run at the NBA Finals. The Warriors finished their season in sixth place this year after a topsy turvy season that saw the defending champs put up an underwhelming 44-38 regular season record. This was mostly fueled by their awful road record (11-30).

Despite all this, the Warriors’ odds to win the NBA Finals have remained steady all season long with few bookmakers willing to write them off entirely, and as of Thursday, you could find them as low as +750 at some books.

The Warriors will begin their playoff push against the second No. 3 seed Sacramento Kings next week.

Check out our free Warriors picks before making your bet on the defending NBA Champions this week.

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