Chet Holmgren only averages 28.9 minutes per game on the season but with Isaiah Hartenstein out and a matchup with the Houston Rockets on deck, I think we will definitely see Holmgren play north of 30 minutes on Thursday. Holmgren can protect the rim against Alperen Sengun but also comfortable switch on to Kevin Durant in any two many actions they run, he's an important piece to their puzzle in this matchup. The Rockets also struggle guarding a stretch 5 center who will stop and pop trailer threes or relocate for jumshots after pick and roll actions. That's sets up well for Holmgren to work off of the gravity of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the pressure he will put on the Rockets defense. This prop is available at +102 but I think it should be trading at -145.
Holmgren is averaging 10.3 RPG so far in January, and he grabbed 10 boards on Tuesday as OKC held San Antonio to just 98 points. Holmgren has now finished with 9+ rebounds in nine of his last 10 outings, making this Over a standout prop pick.
Total PicksOKC 130, HOU 55
talco50 is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (14-4-0) and +6200 units on the season.
Jerrybook is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (23-12-0) and +6700 units on the season.