Indiana Pacers Picks
3rd in Central
(2 - 3)
Next Game
IND @ MIA Picks
NBA PicksPlay up to 63%. With Haliburton and McConnell sidelined, Siakam should carry more playmaking responsibility alongside Nembhard. He's recorded at least four assists in two of his last three games, and Miami's defense has struggled to contain opposing forwards. I'll back another four-assist performance from the veteran.
Play up to 60%. Indiana's frontcourt is missing Zubac, creating a favorable rebounding matchup for Giannis. He's grabbed 32 boards across his last two outings, and the Pacers rank 24th in opponent rebounds allowed. With Indiana lacking size inside, Antetokounmpo should have plenty of opportunities to reach double figures again.
Play up to 55%. Indiana has stayed within eight points in consecutive losses, while Miami has yet to cover at home. The Heat are allowing nearly 40% shooting from three and 28.4 assists per game, giving a Pacers offense built on ball movement an opportunity to keep this contest close.
At 71%, I'll gladly back the Heat on the moneyline, as I make Miami a 77% favorite. While their 1-4 start may be keeping the market hesitant, the injuries to Tyrese Haliburton and T.J. McConnell are significant. Ivica Zubac's doubtful status is even more impactful here, leaving Jay Huff to handle most of the center minutes against Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo, who should have a major advantage inside.
I'm pairing Indiana +8.5 with Under 237.5 and Obi Toppin to make at least two threes. The Pacers' backcourt injuries could limit scoring, but Toppin is shooting 40.7% from deep against a Miami defense that has struggled to contain perimeter shooters.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus54% picking Indiana vs Miami to go Under
Total PicksIND 130, MIA 154
IND @ MIA · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u31.5 Points Scored
27.28 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.2
DIFFERENCE
26.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Thompson
(SF)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
21.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
o10.5 Points Scored
12.54 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
19.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Huff
(C)
o7.5 Points Scored
9.34 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
18.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
O. Toppin
(PF)
u13.5 Points Scored
12.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
18.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Nembhard
(SG)
u16.5 Points Scored
15.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Mitchell
(PG)
u12.5 Points Scored
11.50 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Siakam
(PF)
u23.5 Points Scored
22.67 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
B. Portis Jr.
(PF)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
T. Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.07 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o12.5 Points Scored
12.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
P. Larsson
(SG)
u12.5 Points Scored
11.75 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-3.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Wiggins
(SF)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.05 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
B. Adebayo
(C)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
-13.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Mitchell
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
22.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
21.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
5.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
21.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u12.5 Total Rebounds
10.90 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
19.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
17.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
O. Toppin
(PF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.38 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Siakam
(PF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
6.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
10%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Huff
(C)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.09 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Larsson
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
B. Portis Jr.
(PF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
7.22 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
B. Adebayo
(C)
o9.5 Total Rebounds
9.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Wiggins
(SF)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
22.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
B. Adebayo
(C)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
14.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
O. Toppin
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
11.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Wiggins
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Siakam
(PF)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.01 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
B. Portis Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.82 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Larsson
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Mitchell
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
6.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-11.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
B. Portis Jr.
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.49 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
17.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
G. Antetokounmpo
(PF)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.45 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
17.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
B. Adebayo
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Nesmith
(SF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.07 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Larsson
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. Mitchell
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.55 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Siakam
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Huff
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-11.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
T. Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-12.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
O. Toppin
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-13.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Wiggins
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Nembhard
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
IND @ MIA · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'dispnum1' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Under (239.5)
dispnum1 is #1 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
'nbahoops' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Over (241.5)
nbahoops is #4 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'BradytheK9' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Over (241.5)
BradytheK9 is #4 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'DavePaliwoda' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Under (236.5)
DavePaliwoda is #5 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'MLBFan8848' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Under (239.5)
MLBFan8848 is #6 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'Dannysgirl' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Over (236.5)
Dannysgirl is #8 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'Nittanymac5800' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Over (236.5)
Nittanymac5800 is #9 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'jktheoneandonly' picks Indiana vs Miami to go Under (236.5)
jktheoneandonly is #9 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +2450 units on the season.