Ty Jerome is just returning from an injury that kept him sidelined for the start of the season, so he’s likely to be on a minutes restriction after logging only 19 minutes in his season debut. Even with limited run, this number is simply too low. I have the over 3.5 assists priced closer to -120, yet it’s currently available at +120. Jerome already showed strong pick-and-roll chemistry with Jock Landale on Saturday against the Timberwolves, finishing with six assists in that game. He isn’t a speed-based guard; he’s a methodical pace manipulator who can comfortably attack drop coverage, force Rudy Gobert to commit, and then deliver pocket passes to his bigs.
A depleted Grizzlies interior has led to a spike in points in the paint from those opponents, with Memphis going from an average of just 48.6 PITP allowed to 53.3 points against in the key over the last six contests. Gobert recorded nine of his 22 double-doubles over his 14 games in January and just missed No. 23 by one point on Saturday (9 points, 16 rebounds). Player projections for Monday’s return meeting in Memphis have Gobert’s offensive output north of 11 points with a ceiling of 12.3 while his rebound forecast calls for double figures and a high of 12 boards.
Total PicksMIN 183, MEM 134
thehole007 is #1 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (22-17-0) and +13140 units on the season.
campellnyr917 is #10 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (16-14-0) and +6850 units on the season.
Mod2323 is #2 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (24-15-0) and +10600 units on the season.
CastlemontDB91 is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (27-15-0) and +10500 units on the season.
any007 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (27-17-0) and +7250 units on the season.
trsman is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (27-18-0) and +7200 units on the season.
talco50 is #6 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (16-7-0) and +7400 units on the season.