Memphis Grizzlies Picks

o15.5 -120

o16.5 -106

o15.5 -130

One important note: I like the Over on Paul George at 16.5 (-106) even if Joel Embiid plays, though there’s a chance Embiid sits as he’s listed questionable with ankle and knee issues. The Grizzlies do a good job protecting the paint with Jaren Jackson Jr. as a help-side rim protector, but George isn’t a rim-pressure scorer. He thrives as a spot-up shooter from deep and in the mid-range — exactly the shots Memphis is willing to concede. With the defense keyed in on Tyrese Maxey and Embiid, George’s scoring profile benefits, and I think the Over 16.5 should be priced closer to -165.

Points Scored

Jaren Jackson Jr. o20.5 Points Scored (-105)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o20.5 -105

o19.5 -128

o19.5 -140

o19.5 -150

Jaren Jackson Jr. finished with 31 points on 11-for-25 shooting on Sunday, and he’s now gone past this O/U number in six of his last seven outings. This line feels too low, and I’m jumping on the value for tonight’s matchup with the 76ers.

Ja Morant’s return certainly helps. Instead of creating all of his opportunities himself, Jackson is walking into open looks when his point guard attacks the paint, and he’s also found his stroke from beyond the arc, making 16 of his past 34 attempts from deep.

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Points Scored

Jaren Jackson Jr. o19.5 Points Scored (-120)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o20.5 -105

o19.5 -128

o19.5 -140

o19.5 -150

Jaren Jackson Jr.’s points prop is set at 19.5 with the Over priced at -120, and that’s a number we can attack, as I price it closer to -175. The Grizzlies are typically cautious with their starters’ minutes, but with Memphis catching 1.5 points at home against the 76ers, this projects as a competitive game where JJJ could see his workload pushed north of 30 minutes. Dominick Barlow is expected to be his primary defender, and that’s a matchup Jackson can exploit. Barlow is an undersized big who tends to give up free throws to mobile, skilled frontcourt players like Jaren Jackson Jr.

Points Scored

Paul George o16.5 Points Scored (-107)

Projection 18.87 (Over)

Best Odds

o15.5 -120

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o15.5 -120

o16.5 -106

o15.5 -130

The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.8).. The 76ers will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).. The 76ers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

-120 at bet365

Consensus Picks

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Top User Picks

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Total

'bauer2015' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

bauer2015 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (19-9-0) and +8600 units on the season.

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'hobo' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

hobo is #1 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (22-10-0) and +11000 units on the season.

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'hobo' is picking Memphis to cover (+1.0)

hobo is #1 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (22-10-0) and +11000 units on the season.

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'bauer2015' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.0)

bauer2015 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (19-9-0) and +8600 units on the season.

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'badstreet' is picking Memphis to cover (+1.0)

badstreet is #10 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (0-0-0) and +6750 units on the season.

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'Jims Flying Eagles' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (15-10-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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'Jims Flying Eagles' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (15-10-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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'Abbyllar' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.5)

Abbyllar is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (20-9-0) and +8000 units on the season.

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'Abbyllar' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (233.5)

Abbyllar is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (20-9-0) and +8000 units on the season.

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'thehole007' is picking Philadelphia to cover (+1.0)

thehole007 is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (15-12-0) and +9000 units on the season.

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'thehole007' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Over (233.5)

thehole007 is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (15-12-0) and +9000 units on the season.

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'CastlemontDB91' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Over (233.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #5 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (18-10-0) and +7550 units on the season.

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'CastlemontDB91' is picking Memphis to cover (-1.0)

CastlemontDB91 is #5 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (18-10-0) and +7550 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (17-13-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' is picking Memphis to cover (+1.0)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (17-13-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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'jakringle' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

jakringle is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (20-9-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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'jakringle' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.0)

jakringle is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (20-9-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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'Hotstuff1301' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

Hotstuff1301 is #8 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (21-11-0) and +7000 units on the season.

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'Hotstuff1301' is picking Memphis to cover (+1.0)

Hotstuff1301 is #8 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (21-11-0) and +7000 units on the season.

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'faustobone' picks Philadelphia vs Memphis to go Under (234.0)

faustobone is #9 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (19-13-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'faustobone' is picking Philadelphia to cover (-1.0)

faustobone is #9 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (19-13-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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