Memphis Grizzlies

2nd in Southwest (48 - 34)

Next Game

Fri, Apr 18 21:30 ET

DAL @ MEM Picks

NBA Picks
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Dallas Mavericks logo
DAL +6.5 (-105)
Best Odds
+4.5 +111 Novig
Pick made: yesterday
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
+6.0  +100
+4.5  +111

Anthony Davis has averaged 28.2 points and 14.3 rebounds in his last six matchups with Jaren Jackson Jr., compared to 22.5 and 6.3 from the Grizzlies big man. With the Mavs playing better with Davis (+1.6 net rating in nine regular-season games) than the Grizzlies have been of late (+1.1 net rating in the last month of the season), trusting Davis to again win this matchup fits in line with expecting this game to be within two buckets.

Points Scored
A. Davis u27.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u27.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
27.5 -115
27.5 -115
27.5 -107
27.5 -125
27.5 -114
27.5 -120
26.5 -125
26.5 -105
27.5 -108
27.5 -122

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Anthony Davis will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
J. Morant u26.5 Points Scored
Projection 22.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u26.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
26.5 -115
26.5 -115
26.5 -108
26.5 -124
26.5 -109
26.5 -125
25.5 -125
25.5 -105
26.5 -104
26.5 -128

Ja Morant has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home. The Grizzlies have been the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Points Scored
K. Thompson o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -110
14.5 -125
14.5 -104
14.5 -129
14.5 -109
14.5 -125
13.5 -130
13.5 +100
14.5 -102
14.5 -130

The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have logged 22.8 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a positive matchup for offensive production. The 7th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Points Scored
J. Jackson Jr. o19.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -145 betmgm
Projection updated: 49 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -145
19.5 +110
20.5 -106
20.5 -125
20.5 -118
20.5 -118
21.5 -110
21.5 -120
21.5 -102
21.5 -130

Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk 50.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Total Assists
J. Morant o6.5 Total Assists
Projection 7.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 +114 draftkings
Projection updated: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 +100
6.5 -135
6.5 +107
6.5 -143
6.5 +104
6.5 -143
6.5 +114
6.5 -145
6.5 +102
6.5 -136

Ja Morant has averaged 7.9 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category. Ja Morant has tallied 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
S. Aldama o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +154 fanduel
Projection updated: 49 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +145
2.5 -180
2.5 +140
2.5 -190
2.5 +133
2.5 -185
2.5 +135
2.5 -175
2.5 +154
2.5 -210

Santi Aldama has totaled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 more than he's totaled over the course of the season at home. Santi Aldama has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Rebounds
P. Washington o6.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 8.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -110
6.5 -118
6.5 -113
6.5 -118
6.5 -128
6.5 -106
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -122
6.5 -108

P.J. Washington has tallied 1.7 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 7th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Total Rebounds
D. Bane o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 7.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -121 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -155
5.5 +115
5.5 -121
5.5 -110
5.5 -147
5.5 +108
5.5 -145
5.5 +114
5.5 -144
5.5 +108

Desmond Bane has tallied 5.4 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this metric recently: 91st percentile. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
D. Gafford o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -136 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 59 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
7.5 -136
7.5 +102
8.5 -120
8.5 -114
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 +100
8.5 -132

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 98th percentile for field goal ability with a great 69.3% rate this year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. The 7th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Daniel Gafford has sunk 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home.

Total Rebounds
J. Jackson Jr. o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -105 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 59 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -120
5.5 -110
5.5 -105
5.5 -129
5.5 -125
5.5 -109
5.5 -130
5.5 +100
5.5 -130
5.5 -102

Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 5.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

70% picking Dallas vs Memphis to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksDAL 401, MEM 170

Total
Over
Under

Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Bigboys9' is picking Memphis to cover (-6.5)

Bigboys9 is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (22-9-0) and +7000 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
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'eliminator26' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.0)

eliminator26 is #10 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +9650 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'eliminator26' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.5)

eliminator26 is #10 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +9650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'PSL21' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

PSL21 is #2 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (50-32-0) and +12200 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'PSL21' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

PSL21 is #2 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (50-32-0) and +12200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'TheTotalMan' is picking Memphis to cover (-6.5)

TheTotalMan is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (1-1-0) and +9550 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
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'accxmass' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

accxmass is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (46-23-0) and +11300 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'accxmass' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

accxmass is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (46-23-0) and +11300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'pureporkchop' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

pureporkchop is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (50-32-0) and +8550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'pureporkchop' is picking Memphis to cover (-6.5)

pureporkchop is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (50-32-0) and +8550 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Spread

'ciarajo' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

ciarajo is #5 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (39-27-0) and +10950 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'ciarajo' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Under (221.0)

ciarajo is #5 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (39-27-0) and +10950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'roxwawy20' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

roxwawy20 is #6 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (48-30-3) and +10250 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'roxwawy20' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

roxwawy20 is #6 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (48-30-3) and +10250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'buffalo2007' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

buffalo2007 is #7 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (43-31-1) and +9950 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'buffalo2007' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

buffalo2007 is #7 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (43-31-1) and +9950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Gary64' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

Gary64 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (45-32-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
Total

'Cartrevic' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Over (221.0)

Cartrevic is #9 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (48-32-0) and +9700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'Gary64' picks Dallas vs Memphis to go Under (221.0)

Gary64 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (45-32-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Cartrevic' is picking Dallas to cover (+6.5)

Cartrevic is #9 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (48-32-0) and +9700 units on the season.

Spread
DAL
MEM
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