Cam Johnson is back from injury, and with his points total sitting at 11.5, the over stands out based on how sharp he’s looked shooting the ball in his first two games. Even with Denver listed as a 13.5-point favorite over Memphis, I’m not overly concerned about reduced minutes for Johnson. He’s still ramping up after the injury, and the expectation should be for him to play in the 27–29 minute range regardless of game script, rather than being pushed past 30 minutes. That keeps his floor intact even in a potential blowout. Memphis also offers a favorable matchup. With Zach Edey injured and Jaren Jackson Jr. now in Utah, the Grizzlies lack any real rim protection. That allows Johnson to thrive off the gravity of Nikola Jokić, as the help defense drawn toward Jokić should consistently create clean, open jump shots for Johnson.
With Ja Morant and other starters sidelined, Jerome’s usage rate has surged to 32.4%, allowing him to clear 16 points in four of his last five games. The Denver Nuggets perimeter defense is shaky in Peyton Watson and Aaron Gordon’s absence, giving the sharpshooting Jerome more space to exploit, and a strong chance to clear his scoring prop.
Total Picks MEM 304, DEN 251
Total PicksMEM 243, DEN 166
thehole007 is #1 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (24-20-0) and +11840 units on the season.
aerison12 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (36-13-0) and +13800 units on the season.
thehole007 is #1 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (24-20-0) and +11840 units on the season.
aerison12 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (36-13-0) and +13800 units on the season.
ckope1 is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (34-17-0) and +9220 units on the season.
ckope1 is #10 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (34-17-0) and +9220 units on the season.
campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (19-15-0) and +10300 units on the season.
campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (19-15-0) and +10300 units on the season.
ldcpicks is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (25-16-0) and +12950 units on the season.
ldcpicks is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (25-16-0) and +12950 units on the season.
CastlemontDB91 is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (30-17-0) and +10250 units on the season.
CastlemontDB91 is #3 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (30-17-0) and +10250 units on the season.
sniperpick is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (25-17-0) and +11350 units on the season.
sniperpick is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (25-17-0) and +11350 units on the season.
Mod2323 is #4 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-17-0) and +9850 units on the season.
Mod2323 is #4 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-17-0) and +9850 units on the season.
ASkinsFanInDixi is #4 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (22-13-0) and +10850 units on the season.
ASkinsFanInDixi is #4 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (22-13-0) and +10850 units on the season.
CigarSt22 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (36-18-0) and +10260 units on the season.
CigarSt22 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (36-18-0) and +10260 units on the season.
Abbyllar is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (32-18-0) and +10100 units on the season.
Abbyllar is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (32-18-0) and +10100 units on the season.
VenezUtah is #6 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-20-0) and +8700 units on the season.
VenezUtah is #6 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-20-0) and +8700 units on the season.
DavePaliwoda is #7 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-23-0) and +8550 units on the season.
DavePaliwoda is #7 on picking games that Memphis are in with a record of (26-23-0) and +8550 units on the season.
QueenofQueens is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (28-13-0) and +9950 units on the season.
QueenofQueens is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (28-13-0) and +9950 units on the season.
Badger66 is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (31-11-0) and +9450 units on the season.
Badger66 is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (31-11-0) and +9450 units on the season.