On the second night of a back-to-back against the top defense in the NBA, it’s easy to see why this bet wouldn’t look appealing at first glance—especially without considering the number itself. However, those very negatives are why we’re getting a total of just 25.5 for a player averaging 29.4 points per game on the season. Efficiency against Lu Dort and the Thunder defense will likely take a hit, but the volume should be there, particularly if the game stays close. In a tight fourth quarter, the Timberwolves will lean heavily on Anthony Edwards in the clutch, pushing his usage through the roof. It’s far from an ideal matchup, but the number is simply too low, as I believe it should be priced closer to -175 than -125.
Oklahoma City has won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings against Minnesota, and with the T-Wolves entering the second leg of a back-to-back and Anthony Edwards listed as a game-time decision (foot), take the Thunder to pull away on the road.
Total PicksOKC 118, MIN 84
sleeper2239 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (26-17-0) and +6150 units on the season.
rhythmpants is #3 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (16-9-0) and +6850 units on the season.
Coloneljim is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (22-9-0) and +8300 units on the season.
Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (22-15-0) and +7050 units on the season.
any007 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (25-17-0) and +6300 units on the season.
eddynelf is #7 on picking games that Oklahoma City is in with a record of (23-11-0) and +5700 units on the season.
unbuckle is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (25-18-0) and +6250 units on the season.