Minnesota Timberwolves

3rd in Northwest (41 - 32)

Next Game

Fri, Mar 28 20:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has made 2.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Royce O'Neale has made 2.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the NBA). Kevin Durant stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the NBA). Kevin Durant stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

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Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has attempted 15.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games while at home, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 7.9 treys per game over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Naz Reid will likely see a spike in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Naz Reid has attempted 15.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games while at home, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 7.9 treys per game over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Naz Reid will likely see a spike in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

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Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.5 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.5 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

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Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. Dunn
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Ryan Dunn has successfully made 5.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has sunk 2.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Ryan Dunn has successfully made 5.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has sunk 2.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Devin Booker is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Devin Booker is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while at home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). The matchup against the Suns may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while at home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). The matchup against the Suns may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

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Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Phoenix

N. Richards
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nick Richards has converted 69.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 15.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Nick Richards has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 27.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Nick Richards

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Nick Richards has converted 69.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 15.5% higher than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Nick Richards has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 27.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

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Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has converted 66.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Nick Richards is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Richards is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a whopping 0.9 three-pointers per game (86th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Rudy Gobert has converted 66.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Nick Richards is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Richards is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a whopping 0.9 three-pointers per game (86th percentile). The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

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Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 52.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Mike Conley has sunk 52.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Mike Conley stands to see an increase in output across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Mike Conley has made 52.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Mike Conley has sunk 52.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Mike Conley stands to see an increase in output across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

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Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has successfully made 44.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Julius Randle has played 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the league).

Julius Randle

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Julius Randle has successfully made 44.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Julius Randle has played 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the league).

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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