Portland Trail Blazers

4th in Northwest (41 - 40)

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SASan Antonio San Antonio
at
Portland PORPortland
Fri, Apr 24 22:30 ET

SA @ POR Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
De'Aaron Fox logo De'Aaron Fox o19.5 Points Scored (-110)
Best Odds
o13.5 -450 bet365
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
o19.5  -116
o13.5  -450
o19.5  -108
o19.5  -105
o19.5  -113
o19.5  -115

In 54 games alongside Wembanyama this regular season, Fox averaged 16.5 points. In 18 games with Wembanyama sidelined, Fox averaged 24.6 points. He attempted 4.2 more shots per game without Wembanyama on the court, including two additional 3-pointers per game.

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3 LEG PARLAY
San Antonio Spurs logo Portland Trail Blazers logo
o220.5
Total
De'Aaron Fox profile picture
De'Aaron Fox o19.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
SC
Stephon Castle o5.5 Total Rebounds
Total Rebounds
Bet now
+440 FanDuel
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Similar to the logic of Fox scoring 8.1 points more in games without Wembanyama, Stephon Castle found 6.8 rebounds per game in eight games without the Spurs’ centerpiece, compared to just 5.1 per game in 60 games with Wembanyama. This prop could cash if Wemby plays, but looks quite likely if he does not. And unsurprisingly, San Antonio’s defensive rating spikes without Wembanyma on the court, 6.6 points worse per 100 possessions in 18 games without him. Somewhat surprisingly, the Spurs’ offensive rating does not waver.

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3 LEG PARLAY
Portland Trail Blazers logo
POR
Moneyline
San Antonio Spurs logo Portland Trail Blazers logo
o220.5
Total
De'Aaron Fox profile picture
De'Aaron Fox o19.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
Bet now
+650 DraftKings
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

There is value in this moneyline. A spread of +1.5 is effectively a tilted pick’em. And it is undervaluing what Wembanyama means. San Antonio was favored by 10.5 in Game 2. Adjusting for homecourt, a quick line of +4.5 would make sense on Friday night. Is Wembanyama really worth only three points? Until Portland is favored, lean into this, via spread or moneyline.

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Points Scored
SC
Stephon Castle u19.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 16.04 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u18.5  -113
u19.5  -112
u18.5  -120
u19.5  -125
u18.5  -114
u18.5  -115
Points Scored
Devin Vassell logo
Devin Vassell u14.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 12.58 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u14.5  +100
u14.5  -110
u14.5  -102
u14.5  -120
u14.5  -107
u14.5  -115
The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4).
+100 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Toumani Camara logo
Toumani Camara o10.5 Points Scored (-108)
Projection 12.66 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -108 FanDuel
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o10.5  -113
o15.5  +350
o10.5  -108
o10.5  -125
o10.5  -115
o10.5  -115
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
-108 at FanDuel
Points Scored
Victor Wembanyama logo
Victor Wembanyama o24.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 27.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o24.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o24.5  -117
o24.5  -115
o34.5  +400
o24.5  -120
o24.5  -122
o24.5  -125
Victor Wembanyama has put up 28.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's put up overall this season.. The 10th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.. The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).. The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
-115 at bet365
Points Scored
Jrue Holiday logo
Jrue Holiday o15.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 17.85 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -126
o15.5  -112
o15.5  -130
o16.5  -105
o15.5  -129
o15.5  -130
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 54.7% on field goal attempts (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a favorable matchup.. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.. The matchup vs. the Spurs is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league).
-112 at bet365
Total Rebounds
Scoot Henderson logo
Scoot Henderson o2.5 Total Rebounds (+116)
Projection 3.19 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +116 FanDuel
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  -103
o2.5  +100
o2.5  +116
o2.5  +100
o2.5  +100
o2.5  +105
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
+116 at FanDuel
Total Rebounds
Jrue Holiday logo
Jrue Holiday o4.5 Total Rebounds (+107)
Projection 5.43 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +107 DraftKings
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  +107
o4.5  +102
o4.5  -102
o4.5  -105
o4.5  +103
o4.5  +105
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
+107 at DraftKings
Total Rebounds
Toumani Camara logo
Toumani Camara o4.5 Total Rebounds (+110)
Projection 5.16 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +111 DraftKings
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  +111
o4.5  +105
o4.5  +108
o4.5  -105
o4.5  +107
o4.5  +110
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
+111 at DraftKings
Total Assists
Scoot Henderson logo
Scoot Henderson o3.5 Total Assists (+125)
Projection 4.75 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -161 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  -161
o3.5  +130
o2.5  -186
o3.5  +125
o3.5  +123
o2.5  -190
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.. The Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the 10th-speediest pace away team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
-161 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

56% picking San Antonio

56%
44%

Total Picks SA 211, POR 163

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Total

52% picking San Antonio vs Portland to go Under

48%
52%

Total PicksSA 66, POR 71

Total
Over
Under
Total
219.5 -116
220.5 -107

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'yardduke' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

yardduke is #1 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (44-32-0) and +13550 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'lsbellmom' is picking Portland to cover (+1.5)

lsbellmom is #10 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (50-30-0) and +9100 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Total

'lsbellmom' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Under (220.5)

lsbellmom is #10 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (50-30-0) and +9100 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
219.5 -116
220.5 -107
Spread

'saintsnola15' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

saintsnola15 is #2 on picking games that Portland is in with a record of (40-26-0) and +10900 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Total

'saintsnola15' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Over (220.5)

saintsnola15 is #2 on picking games that Portland is in with a record of (40-26-0) and +10900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
219.5 -116
220.5 -107
Spread

'Peach240' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

Peach240 is #3 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (45-27-0) and +13200 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Portland to cover (+1.5)

stom5900 is #4 on picking games that Portland is in with a record of (39-20-0) and +9100 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'sportsdool1123' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

sportsdool1123 is #4 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (45-28-0) and +12200 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Total

'sportsdool1123' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Under (220.5)

sportsdool1123 is #4 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (45-28-0) and +12200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
219.5 -116
220.5 -107
Spread

'whooped' is picking Portland to cover (+1.5)

whooped is #5 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (43-32-0) and +11500 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'Crib' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

Crib is #7 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (1-1-0) and +10200 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'roxwawy20' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (43-31-0) and +9770 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Spread

'KYMIKE50' is picking Portland to cover (+1.5)

KYMIKE50 is #8 on picking games that Portland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +8350 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105
Total

'roxwawy20' picks San Antonio vs Portland to go Under (220.5)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (43-31-0) and +9770 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
219.5 -116
220.5 -107
Spread

'ACEhole_1' is picking San Antonio to cover (-1.5)

ACEhole_1 is #9 on picking games that San Antonio is in with a record of (46-29-0) and +9350 units on the season.

Spread
SA
POR
Spread
-1.5 -137
+2.5 +105

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