Early Michigan vs Arizona Predictions, Picks & Odds for Final Four
Free College Basketball Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 31, 2026
I’ll be damned if Alex Karaban is going to lay another egg in the Final Four. Connecticut’s veteran forward looked like the “Monstars” had stolen his talent for most of that matchup with Duke (Go watch "Space Jam" if you don't get that reference). He was just 1 for 6 for the night but did hit a massive 3-pointer late that helped set the table for UConn’s incredible buzzer beater. His points prop is back at 12.5 O/U – the same total versus the Blue Devils’ top-ranked defense – but he takes on a much lighter task in Illinois on both ends of the floor. Karaban has put up 17, 22 and 27 in the three games prior and projections sit between 14.6 and 16.3 points on Saturday.
Aday Mara’s minutes took a hit versus Tennessee. Foul trouble and UM’s blowout of the Vols limited the 7-footer to just 18 minutes. While he scored 11 points, he failed to register a single assist for the first time since November 19. Mara is an underrated passer and has shown his playmaking ability with 15 total dimes through the first three games. Saturday’s Final Four matchup with Arizona will be played at a much quicker tempo than the Tennessee game and Mara will be a valuable conduit for the Wolverines as an inside-out passer to the perimeter. The Wildcats will collapse in the key and he’ll kick out to UM’s shooters. Mara is also a great passer from the high post, stretching the Arizona defense and hitting cutters to the rim. Projections sit as high as 3.1 assists.
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