College Basketball Picks

The Wildcats rank 287th in defensive rebound rate since January 1, and they’ve allowed double-digit rebound performances to an opposing big in four of their last five games. McGlockton had a season-high 12 boards against Kentucky in Nashville, and will clean up again on Saturday. 

New Mexico has combined with its opponents to score better than 151 points in six straight at home.

Not only does Tech lose Toppin's 21.8 points and league-leading 10.8 rebounds, but it'll also be without the only player over 6-foot-6 who plays more than 20 minutes a night. 

Tech has beaten K-State and Cincinnati, two teams that rank below 180 in offensive rebounding rate since losing Toppin. Iowa State is No. 33. The Cyclones are also No. 40 in two-point shooting percentage, 100 spots higher than Tech's last two opponents. Iowa State should have its way inside against the depleted Red Raiders.

Tons of freshmen have been balling out across the country which has resulted in Ivan Kharchenkov (10.1 ppg, 4.0 rpg) flying under the radar. He might not score at the same level as the other freshmen stars but the 6-foot-7 forward is a strong defender, rebounder, and passer. Kharchenkov has grabbed 6+ boards in five of his last six games — including the previous clash against the Jayhawks at the Phog. Kansas has been subpar on the glass, ranking 248th in the country in offensive rebounding rate and sitting outside the Top 150 in defensive rebounding rate.

When these teams met in January, Providence dropped 93 points despite a single-digit scoring output from Jaylin Sellers. 

Providence should once again fly past its team total against a Creighton defense ranked 303rd in eFG% defense since January 1.

The Bluejays rank 335th in turnover rate forced and 338th in 3-point defense in that timeframe. That won’t get the job done against a Providence offense ranked 21st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 19th in adjusted tempo. 

The Friars will get easy baskets via dribble penetration and offensive rebounds, and hit their team total for the 19th time in 26 games.

Carey leads the Vols with 18% offensive rebound rate and has grabbed 10+ boards four times in his last eight games, including 10 against Missouri on Tuesday. Alabama's interior defense is soft, ranking below average defensively against rim attacks which signals that they can be overpowered on the glass by a more physical team. Carey is a bully on the glass who feasts on exactly this kind of matchup

Villanova's defense isn't on UConn's level. The Red Storm had been playing with their food, failing to cover two of the last three as 7.5-point or greater favorites. The UConn debacle will be a wake-up call.

Florida has been demolishing opponents, going 6-2 ATS during an eight-game winning streak. Books haven’t been able to keep up, but they’re now compensating with an artificially wide line (-11) in a ranked-on-ranked conference game, so it’s time to sell.

Arkansas ranks 11th in BartTorvik since January 20, and its adjusted offensive efficiency (3rd) is 19 spots better than Florida. Unlike many of these other SEC teams, the Razorbacks are no pushover.

Darius Acuff and Maleek Thomas give the Hawgs the superior backcourt, and they’re a big reason why John Calipari’s squad is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.