South Carolina @ Arkansas picks

The Razorbacks are 4-1 in their last five games. However, their loss during that span came at South Carolina which was one of just two wins for the Gamecocks during conference play. Arkansas shot 29% from the floor in that game and went 3-22 from deep. The Razorbacks don't shoot the ball well, but that was an outlier even for them. Expect positive regression against a USC side that was 14th in the SEC in both opponent 2PT% (55.6%) and opponent 3PT% (37%) during league play. The Gamecocks were even worse with the ball, ranking last in the conference in adjusted offense, eFG% (46.1%) and TO rate (19.8%). The Razorbacks are bad on offense but they aren't nearly that awful, and have been scoring lately even without leading scorer Adou Thiero. Thiero might return Wednesday which would be a big boost. Even without him, the Razorbacks have the more talented lineup, the superior defense, and the better coach. Back them as short faves in a revenge spot.