Ole Miss @ Michigan State picks
State Farm Arena
MISS vs MSU Covers Picks
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Jaxon Kohler Over 6.5 rebounds (-122)
The Michigan State Spartans are elite on the backboard and well-built to take advantage of Mississippi's weakness in rebounding. We're hitting the prop market to take advantage of this with Jaxson Kohler Over 6.5 rebounds. I expect a relatively low-scoring game with two teams that can defend each other well. I saw a small amount of value in what is already the lowest total of the day. With an increase in misses comes an increase in rebound opportunities. Kohler is easily the best rebounder on the floor. When the two lineups come out, he'll have the highest defensive rebounding percentage of any player on the floor and the highest offensive rebounding percentage of anyone on the floor. This one seems straightforward. I'd actually play this to 7.5 as I project a rebound total of 8.1.
Michigan St. -3.0 (-110)
The Rebels are coming off an upset win against Iowa State but their run ends here. MSU is No. 7 in KenPom ratings while Iowa State was No. 11. However, the Spartans are 3-point faves while the Cyclones were -5.5 despite missing one of their best players in Keshon Gilbert. The Spartans are fifth in the country in adjusted defense. They allow few shots at the the rim while holding foes to 27.8% shooting from deep. They'll force Ole Miss into tough midrange shots. MSU is also second in the country in rebounding rate (56.7%) while the Rebels are just 318th (46.9%). The Spartans should dominate the glass and cover as short faves.
MISS vs MSU Consensus Picks
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View all Top User Picks'wiseguy43' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Under (144.0)
wiseguy43 is #1 on picking games that Michigan St. is in with a record of (14-7-0) and +9350 units on the season.
'burley' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Under (143.0)
burley is #1 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (13-0-0) and +8550 units on the season.
'hudsoncty3344' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Under (144.0)
hudsoncty3344 is #2 on picking games that Michigan St. is in with a record of (21-6-0) and +9150 units on the season.
'tadlodz' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (143.0)
tadlodz is #3 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (18-9-0) and +5950 units on the season.
'chefsloan7' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (145.0)
chefsloan7 is #3 on picking games that Michigan St. is in with a record of (19-8-0) and +8150 units on the season.
'Covers083214' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (143.0)
Covers083214 is #4 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5550 units on the season.
'tazman333' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (143.0)
tazman333 is #5 on picking games that Michigan St. is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +7500 units on the season.
'regger22' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (143.0)
regger22 is #6 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (19-7-0) and +5000 units on the season.
'fat italian' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (144.0)
fat italian is #7 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (17-10-0) and +4950 units on the season.
'mjpalli' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Under (144.0)
mjpalli is #9 on picking games that Michigan St. is in with a record of (7-8-0) and +6200 units on the season.
'midsro49' picks Mississippi vs Michigan St. to go Over (144.0)
midsro49 is #9 on picking games that Mississippi is in with a record of (14-7-1) and +4700 units on the season.