The juice on Warren this week is justified based on his season alone — 10 touchdowns across eight of his 13 games. But it is not properly adjusting for backup quarterback Beau Pribula’s absence as he pursues a transfer. Four of Warren’s 10 touchdowns were rushing scores. When you look up “do-everything” in the dictionary, it is his picture next to the definition. With Pribula and his four rushing scores absent, Warren may take more Wildcat snaps near the end zone. Between that possibility and his already dominant pass-catching skills, few things are more certain this weekend than Warren finding the end zone.
Drew Allar has run for a touchdown in each of his last three games. That alone creates some confidence in this play. But with backup quarterback Beau Pribula leaving the team to transfer, Allar’s red-zone workload will increase. Pribula had four rushing touchdowns to Allar’s six this season. If half of Pribula’s scores this season were Allar’s, and that is being intentionally conservative, then this prop would plummet. Well, for this week’s game plan, that is the logic that offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki is working with.