DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Cincinnati 4th AFC North9-8
Cleveland 2nd AFC North11-6

Cincinnati @ Cleveland props

Cleveland Browns Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Chubb Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

N. Chubb
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.7%) versus RBs since the start of last season (73.7%). The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Nick Chubb

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.7%) versus RBs since the start of last season (73.7%). The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Joe Mixon Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

J. Mixon
halfback HB • Cincinnati
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Joe Mixon

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

David Njoku

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.4

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Amari Cooper Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

A. Cooper
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Amari Cooper

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Irv Smith Jr. Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

I. Smith Jr.
tight end TE • Cincinnati
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup QB Joe Burrow in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Irv Smith Jr. to garner 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among TEs. Irv Smith has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.7% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 83rd percentile among TEs. Irv Smith Jr. has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

Irv Smith Jr.

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup QB Joe Burrow in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Irv Smith Jr. to garner 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among TEs. Irv Smith has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.7% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 83rd percentile among TEs. Irv Smith Jr. has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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