Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
In this game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to slot into the 100th percentile among RBs with 19.1 carries. Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (68.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.1%). With an outstanding tally of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the top pure runners in the NFL this year.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Colby Parkinson has played on 62.9% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends. Colby Parkinson's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a material growth in his receiving skills over last season's 19.0 figure. Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 65.2% figure.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86%) versus RBs this year (86.0%).
The leading projections forecast Stefon Diggs to garner 7.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board. Stefon Diggs grades out as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 56.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile. Stefon Diggs's 85.4% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% figure. Stefon Diggs's 10.6 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.8 rate.
The Rams are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Chicago Bears defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.06 adjusted yards-per-carry. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Chicago's DT corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
The Bears are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (32.4 per game) this year. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a substantial boost in his running prowess over last year's 3.9 figure. With a remarkable record of 3.82 yards after contact (95th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson rates as one of the toughest RBs in the league this year.
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. In this week's game, Jauan Jennings is expected by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Kyren Williams's 68.8% snap rate this year marks an impressive decrease in his offensive utilization over last year's 86.6% mark. The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to total 2.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs. After accumulating -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has produced significantly more this year, currently boasting 8.0 per game.
The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.7 carries. Zach Charbonnet's 44.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his rushing proficiency over last year's 34.0 mark.
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route% this season reflects a material progression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 68.1% figure. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile among running backs with 8.9 targets.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average). The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to notch 7.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs. When talking about air yards, Courtland Sutton grades out in the towering 95th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a massive 98.0 per game.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Josh Allen to total 8.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's running game in this week's game (27.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.7% in games he has played). Josh Allen has generated 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among QBs (98th percentile).
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average). When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. The Bills safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
In this week's contest, Kenneth Walker III is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.5 targets. Kenneth Walker III profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs, hauling in a stellar 91.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile. Kenneth Walker III's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this year, notching 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.07 figure last year. This year, the shaky 49ers defense has allowed a whopping 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the worst in the league. The 49ers pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.8%) vs. running backs this year (86.8%).
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week. James Cook's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.12 figure last season. This year, the imposing Broncos defense has yielded a puny 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Denver's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. This week, Jake Tonges is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 90th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets. The model projects Jake Tonges to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played).
Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with an exceptional 68.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile. With an impressive 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold ranks among the most effective passers in the NFL. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's safety corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in football.
The Bears are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (32.4 per game) this year. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 47.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the most among all quarterbacks. With an exceptional total of 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the leading passers in the league this year. With an exceptional 8.16 adjusted yards-per-target (91st percentile) this year, Matthew Stafford places as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the league. The model projects Khalil Shakir to earn 7.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers. With a sizeable 21.6% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. In this contest, Zach Charbonnet is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 81st percentile among running backs with 2.0 targets. Zach Charbonnet has compiled a massive 2.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Zach Charbonnet's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 6.0 rate. This year, the shaky 49ers defense has allowed a whopping 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the worst in the league.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks. Josh Allen's 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a material decline in his passing skills over last season's 237.0 rate. This year, the formidable Broncos defense has given up a mere 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-lowest rate in the league. The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, yielding 7.18 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-fewest in football.
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average). When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. The Bills safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to be much less involved in his offense's ground game in this week's game (50.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.5% in games he has played). Kyren Williams has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (85.0).
The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week. This week, Kenneth Walker III is predicted by the model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.1 rush attempts. Kenneth Walker III has grinded out 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (83rd percentile). Kenneth Walker III's running efficiency has improved this year, compiling 4.57 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.59 figure last year.
The model projects the Broncos as the 3rd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 41.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average). When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. The Bills safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week. This year, the imposing Broncos defense has yielded a puny 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Denver's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
This week, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by the projection model to place in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 11.1 targets. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this season (36.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.3%). After accruing 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gotten better this year, now boasting 109.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (90.0) this year than he did last year (69.0). With an impressive 75.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. The predictive model expects D'Andre Swift to accrue 14.0 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has generated 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (90th percentile). D'Andre Swift's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates an impressive progression in his rushing skills over last season's 3.6 rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. Rhamondre Stevenson has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game). Rhamondre Stevenson's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 12.8. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board. Rhamondre Stevenson has accumulated substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense this year: 10th-fewest in football. Dalton Schultz's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.94 figure last season. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in football versus the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy's 70.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy progression in his passing precision over last year's 66.2% figure. With a remarkable 8.07 adjusted yards-per-target (84th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy has been among the most efficient passers in football.
In this contest, Hunter Henry is projected by the projection model to place in the 86th percentile among tight ends with 5.7 targets. Hunter Henry has notched a massive 43.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among TEs. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board. Hunter Henry checks in as one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 43.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile. Hunter Henry's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 9.85 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.86 mark last season.
This year, the strong Rams defense has allowed a puny 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in the league. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 6.21 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league. The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with an exceptional 68.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's safety corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in football.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks. This year, the formidable Broncos defense has given up a mere 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-lowest rate in the league. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Denver's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the league versus the Seahawks defense this year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a mere 1.18 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in football. The Seahawks safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
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