The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets. Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average). With an outstanding total of 6.6 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (86th percentile), C.J. Stroud has been as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to garner 9.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (31.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.0% in games he has played).
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown bad efficiency against RBs this year, conceding 7.53 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to total 4.7 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks. After taking on 11.4% of his offense's carries last year, Justin Herbert has had a larger role in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 16.5%. Justin Herbert has run for substantially more yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (19.0). With an excellent tally of 7.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert places as one of the top running quarterbacks in the league this year.
A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -4-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average). The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.1%) versus running backs this year (85.1%).
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. Travis Kelce's 18.4% Target Rate this year signifies a meaningful regression in his passing offense utilization over last year's 24.6% figure. After averaging 59.0 air yards per game last season, Travis Kelce has produced significantly less this season, currently averaging 43.0 per game. Travis Kelce's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.53 figure last season. The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) vs. tight ends this year.
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. Isiah Pacheco's 50.2% Route% this season represents a meaningful boost in his passing game volume over last season's 33.5% figure. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. Justin Herbert has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. With a terrific total of 228.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Justin Herbert stands as one of the top passers in the NFL this year.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. This year, the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a puny 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-fewest in football. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projections to land in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets. A.J. Brown has accrued a colossal 91.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among WRs.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 3.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs. Saquon Barkley has put up a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). With a terrific 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (85th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley has been as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. Dalton Schultz comes in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging just 6.72 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile. Dalton Schultz's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a substantial decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.9% rate. The Chiefs linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. Patrick Mahomes's throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.3% to 65.2%. This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has conceded a meager 185.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best in the league. This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a feeble 6.6 yards. The Houston Texans cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. Nico Collins has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (75.0). Nico Collins's 60.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 67.1% mark. Nico Collins's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.18 figure last season. The Chiefs pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. After accounting for 9.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Patrick Mahomes has had a larger role in the run game this year, now making up 16.9%. Patrick Mahomes has rushed for a lot more yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. In this week's contest, Rashee Rice is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.9 targets. Rashee Rice has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 28.0% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average). The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Saquon Barkley's 80.2% Snap% this year illustrates a remarkable progression in his offensive utilization over last year's 69.8% figure. Saquon Barkley's 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a significant reduction in his rushing skills over last year's 118.0 rate.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. Patrick Mahomes's throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.3% to 65.2%. This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has given up a mere 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL. The Houston Texans cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. Travis Kelce's 18.4% Target Rate this year signifies a meaningful regression in his passing offense utilization over last year's 24.6% figure. Travis Kelce's receiving skills have worsened this season, compiling a measly 4.9 adjusted catches vs 6.1 last season. The Texans defensive ends project as the best collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets. Dallas Goedert profiles as one of the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a remarkable 3.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. The Chiefs linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. Rashee Rice's 71.5% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a significant decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 81.1% mark. The Texans pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.3%) to wide receivers this year (56.3%). The Houston Texans cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. The Chiefs defense has allowed the 6th-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 1.08 per game this year. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.2 per game) this year. Nico Collins's 60.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 67.1% mark. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has surrendered a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league. The Texans defensive ends project as the best collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.5% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.2 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week. The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board. This year, the daunting Eagles defense has conceded a mere 63.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the lowest rate in the NFL. The Eagles defense has given up the 2nd-fewest passing TDs in the league: 1.00 per game this year.
A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -4-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projections to land in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets. A.J. Brown profiles as one of the top WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 5.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Dallas Goedert has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.6% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs. Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Dallas Goedert ranks in the 99th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.64 per game. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. Justin Herbert has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 3.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs. Saquon Barkley comes in as one of the top pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 2.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. The projections expect Patrick Mahomes to attempt 37.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -4-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average). The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.1%) versus running backs this year (85.1%).
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. Justin Herbert has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, grading out in the 87th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
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