NFL Player Props and Best Projections

The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. Jaxson Dart has averaged 5.9 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (92nd percentile). Jaxson Dart isn't afraid to run the ball, making up 19.9% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among quarterbacks. With a remarkable total of 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jaxson Dart rates as one of the leading running quarterbacks in football this year. With a stellar record of 2.14 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Jaxson Dart stands as one of the leading rushing QBs in football this year.

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. This year, the weak Giants pass defense has given up a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the highest rate in the NFL. The New York Giants safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. The predictive model expects Jaxson Dart to attempt 31.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs. Jaxson Dart is positioned as one of the weakest QBs in football this year, averaging 158.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 6.08 adjusted yards-per-carry. The Giants safeties rank as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs. Hunter Henry has compiled a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. Hunter Henry comes in as one of the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 44.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has been gouged for a massive 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the worst in the NFL. The Patriots pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.9%) to TEs this year (79.9%).

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week. Stefon Diggs has run fewer routes this year (69.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (83.6%). Stefon Diggs's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 5.7 rate.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. While Wan'Dale Robinson has received 12.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New York's offense near the goal line in this contest at 26.8%. After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last season, Wan'Dale Robinson has seen marked improvement this season, now boasting 76.0 per game. Wan'Dale Robinson's 61.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 49.4.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Right now, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (52.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New York Giants. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. The predictive model expects Jaxson Dart to attempt 31.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. This week, Stefon Diggs is projected by the projections to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. Stefon Diggs profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 56.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile. Stefon Diggs's 83.0% Adjusted Catch% this season marks an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 73.7% figure.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. With a sizeable 25.5% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Hunter Henry has compiled a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. Hunter Henry ranks in the 90th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.38 per game.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. This year, the weak Giants pass defense has given up a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the highest rate in the NFL. The New York Giants safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script. The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 6.08 adjusted yards-per-carry. The Giants safeties rank as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 125.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week. Wan'Dale Robinson's 68.2% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 72.0% figure. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. The New York Giants safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. In this week's game, Wan'Dale Robinson is predicted by the model to position himself in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 9.2 targets. After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last season, Wan'Dale Robinson has seen marked improvement this season, now boasting 76.0 per game. This year, the shaky New England Patriots defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a massive 8.58 yards.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. This year, the shaky Giants defense has allowed a monstrous 0.33 receiving TDs per game to opposing RBs: the biggest rate in the league.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board. This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has given up a colossal 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the largest rate in the NFL.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board. The Patriots pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.9%) to TEs this year (79.9%). This year, the fierce Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.33 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the best rate in the league.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board. This year, the fierce Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.33 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the best rate in the league. The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. The Giants defense has allowed the most passing TDs in football: 1.75 per game this year. The New York Giants safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board. This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has given up a colossal 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the largest rate in the NFL. This year, the fierce Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.33 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the best rate in the league.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.6% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile among wideouts. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's 83.0% Adjusted Catch% this season marks an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 73.7% figure.

The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year. The Giants defense has allowed the most passing TDs in football: 1.75 per game this year.