NFL Player Props and Best Projections

The projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.8% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off. This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings run defense has surrendered a measly 85.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-best in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

The Cleveland Browns may lean on the pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football.

With a 40.9% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the league has been the New York Giants.

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.7% run rate.

At the present time, the least run-oriented offense in football (30.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.5% run rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in football.

At the present time, the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in football. Aaron Jones has garnered a whopping 1.1% of his offense's air yards this year: 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.2% run rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Mike Gesicki's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 18.9.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in football.

At the present time, the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

At the present time, the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

At the present time, the least run-oriented offense in football (30.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.