NFL Player Props and Best Projections

The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 47.4% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week. This week, Kenneth Walker III is predicted by the model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.1 rush attempts.

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. In this game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to slot into the 100th percentile among RBs with 19.1 carries.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Rams are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Chicago Bears defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.06 adjusted yards-per-carry. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Chicago's DT corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. In this week's game, Jauan Jennings is expected by the projection model to slot into the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.

The leading projections forecast Stefon Diggs to garner 7.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.7 carries. Zach Charbonnet's 44.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his rushing proficiency over last year's 34.0 mark.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. This year, the feeble Bears defense has surrendered a massive 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the most in football. This year, the deficient Bears pass defense has conceded a colossal 81.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the largest rate in the NFL. The Bears linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

A running game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to total 2.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs. The Bears linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The Bears are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 133.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. The Bills safeties grade out as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to rank in the 100th percentile among running backs with 8.9 targets.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, Jake Tonges is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Josh Allen to total 8.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks. The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's running game in this week's game (27.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.7% in games he has played). Josh Allen has generated 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among QBs (98th percentile).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have only 130.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week. In this week's game, Evan Engram is predicted by the model to rank in the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.5 targets. The Bills safeties grade out as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Texans, who are -3-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects the Broncos as the 3rd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 131.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 133.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The model projects Khalil Shakir to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers. With a sizeable 21.6% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 5th-best in football this year. With a stellar 80.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

The Bears are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 133.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 47.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs. This week, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 133.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week. The Bears have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 57.3 plays per game. The predictive model expects D'Andre Swift to accrue 14.0 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has generated 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (90th percentile). D'Andre Swift's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates an impressive progression in his rushing skills over last season's 3.6 rate.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 59.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.