CIN 6.0 o53.0
BAL -6.0 u53.0
NYG -6.5 o40.5
CAR 6.5 u40.5
DEN 8.0 o41.5
KC -8.0 u41.5
BUF -4.0 o48.5
IND 4.0 u48.5
MIN -5.0 o45.5
JAC 5.0 u45.5
PIT 2.5 o45.5
WAS -2.5 u45.5
SF -6.5 o50.5
TB 6.5 u50.5
ATL -4.0 o46.5
NO 4.0 u46.5
NE 6.0 o39.0
CHI -6.0 u39.0
TEN 7.5 o38.0
LAC -7.5 u38.0
PHI -7.5 o43.5
DAL 7.5 u43.5
NYJ -1.0 o45.5
ARI 1.0 u45.5
DET -3.5 o49.0
HOU 3.5 u49.0
MIA 1.5 o50.0
LA -1.5 u50.0
Jacksonville 2nd AFC South9-8
Indianapolis 3rd AFC South9-8

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis props

Lucas Oil Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Deon Jackson Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

D. Jackson
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to garner 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs. Deon Jackson has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Deon Jackson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to garner 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs. Deon Jackson has been among the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Kylen Granson Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

K. Granson
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
+148
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
+148
Projection Rating

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. Kylen Granson has been among the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, completing an impressive 77.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile. The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 6th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Kylen Granson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. Kylen Granson has been among the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, completing an impressive 77.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile. The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 6th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Michael Pittman Jr. Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

M. Pittman Jr.
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts. Michael Pittman has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Michael Pittman Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.6

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football. Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts. Michael Pittman has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Travis Etienne Jr. Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

T. Etienne Jr.
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.

Travis Etienne Jr.

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.

Calvin Ridley Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Calvin Ridley to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers. The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Calvin Ridley to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers. The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Evan Engram Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

E. Engram
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-168
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-168
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Evan Engram has run a route on 80.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among tight ends. Evan Engram has been among the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Evan Engram

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league (context-neutralized) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Evan Engram has run a route on 80.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among tight ends. Evan Engram has been among the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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