New York @ San Francisco props

The Giants are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Matt Breida to earn 2.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (65.9%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (65.9%). The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack results when facing better conditions in this game. Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 72.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Christian McCaffrey has been among the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 87th percentile. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Giants are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.6%) versus WRs since the start of last season (69.6%).

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack results when facing better conditions in this game. George Kittle has run a route on 88.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 6.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among tight ends. George Kittle has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 90th percentile. The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in football (75.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (75.1%).

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack results when facing better conditions in this game. THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to earn 8.1 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers. Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 23.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 85th percentile among wideouts. Deebo Samuel has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile. Deebo Samuel's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 72.8%.