New Orleans @ Green Bay props

THE BLITZ projects Jayden Reed to total 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers. The Green Bay Packers offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game. Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the NFL. The New Orleans Saints O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board. The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.98 seconds per play. THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to accrue 4.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among tight ends. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (74.8%) versus TEs since the start of last season (74.8%).

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense as the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.98 seconds per play. THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to total 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts. Chris Olave's 69.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for WRs. Chris Olave has been among the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 84th percentile. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (68.5%).