Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay props

The model projects the Eagles to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.1 plays per game. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.7 plays per game. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Cade Otton has been among the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized). THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.

The model projects the Eagles to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.1 plays per game. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects D'Andre Swift to garner 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs. D'Andre Swift has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

The model projects the Eagles to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.1 plays per game. The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.9% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in football (74.6%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (74.6%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized). THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the league (60.9%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).