Detroit @ Green Bay props

The predictive model expects the Packers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.7% pass rate. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. The projections expect Aaron Jones to garner 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs. Aaron Jones has been among the leading running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline. The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 6.7 receptions per game while grading out in the 96th percentile. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a stellar 77.8% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

The predictive model expects the Packers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.7% pass rate. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. The leading projections forecast Romeo Doubs to accumulate 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The predictive model expects the Packers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.7% pass rate. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league. The leading projections forecast Christian Watson to earn 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts. The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board. The Lions cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may decline. Sam LaPorta has played on 79.6% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs. The model projects Sam LaPorta to notch 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Completion% in football (74.8%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (74.8%).

The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.0 plays per game.