Minnesota @ Carolina props

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Vikings to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game. T.J. Hockenson has been among the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Completion% in football (74.7%) versus TEs since the start of last season (74.7%).

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 8.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. The projections expect Miles Sanders to total 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Vikings to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game. Alexander Mattison has run more routes this year (56.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (22.0%). Our trusted projections expect Alexander Mattison to accumulate 3.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Vikings to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.6 plays per game. Justin Jefferson has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in football (71.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (71.4%).

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 8.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. Adam Thielen has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.